SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Shkendija win with a probability of 48.43%. A win for Valmiera had a probability of 28.42% and a draw had a probability of 23.1%.
The most likely scoreline for a Shkendija win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.43%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (7.99%) and 2-0 (7.14%). The likeliest Valmiera win was 1-2 (6.97%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.55%). The actual scoreline of 3-1 was predicted with a 5.6% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Shkendija would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Shkendija | Draw | Valmiera |
48.43% ( 0.02) | 23.14% ( 0.01) | 28.42% ( -0.02) |
| Both teams to score 61.03% ( -0.04) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 60.05% ( -0.04) | 39.95% ( 0.04) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 37.69% ( -0.04) | 62.31% ( 0.04) |
| Shkendija Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 83.25% ( -0.01) | 16.75% ( 0.01) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | ||||||||
| 53.33% ( -0.01) | 46.67% ( 0.02) |
| Valmiera Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 73.31% ( -0.03) | 26.69% ( 0.04) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | ||||||||
| 38.05% ( -0.05) | 61.95% ( 0.05) |
| Score Analysis |
| Shkendija | Draw | Valmiera |
| 2-1 @ 9.43% ( 0) 1-0 @ 7.99% ( 0.01)2-0 @ 7.14% ( 0.01)3-1 @ 5.62% 3-0 @ 4.25% ( 0)3-2 @ 3.71% ( -0)4-1 @ 2.51% 4-0 @ 1.9% ( 0)4-2 @ 1.66% ( -0)Other @ 4.25% Total : 48.44% | 1-1 @ 10.55% ( 0.01) 2-2 @ 6.23% ( -0)0-0 @ 4.47% ( 0.01)3-3 @ 1.63% ( -0)Other @ 0.27% Total : 23.14% | 1-2 @ 6.97% ( -0) 0-1 @ 5.9% ( 0)0-2 @ 3.9% ( -0)1-3 @ 3.07% ( -0)2-3 @ 2.74% ( -0)0-3 @ 1.72% ( -0)1-4 @ 1.01% ( -0)2-4 @ 0.91% ( -0)Other @ 2.21% Total : 28.42% |
| Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
| 1 | Manchester CityMan City | 35 | 27 | 4 | 4 | 92 | 31 | 61 | 85 |
| 2 | Arsenal | 36 | 25 | 6 | 5 | 83 | 42 | 41 | 81 |
| 3 | Newcastle UnitedNewcastle | 36 | 19 | 12 | 5 | 67 | 32 | 35 | 69 |
| 4 | Manchester UnitedMan Utd | 35 | 20 | 6 | 9 | 51 | 41 | 10 | 66 |
| 5 | Liverpool | 36 | 19 | 8 | 9 | 70 | 42 | 28 | 65 |
| 6 | Brighton & Hove AlbionBrighton | 35 | 17 | 7 | 11 | 67 | 49 | 18 | 58 |
| 7 | Tottenham HotspurSpurs | 36 | 17 | 6 | 13 | 65 | 59 | 6 | 57 |
| 8 | Aston Villa | 36 | 17 | 6 | 13 | 48 | 44 | 4 | 57 |
| 9 | Brentford | 36 | 13 | 14 | 9 | 54 | 45 | 9 | 53 |
| 10 | Fulham | 36 | 15 | 6 | 15 | 52 | 49 | 3 | 51 |
| 11 | Chelsea | 35 | 11 | 10 | 14 | 36 | 41 | -5 | 43 |
| 12 | Crystal Palace | 36 | 11 | 10 | 15 | 37 | 46 | -9 | 43 |
| 13 | Wolverhampton WanderersWolves | 36 | 11 | 7 | 18 | 30 | 52 | -22 | 40 |
| 14 | Bournemouth | 36 | 11 | 6 | 19 | 37 | 69 | -32 | 39 |
| 15 | West Ham UnitedWest Ham | 36 | 10 | 7 | 19 | 38 | 52 | -14 | 37 |
| 16 | Nottingham ForestNott'm Forest | 36 | 8 | 10 | 18 | 36 | 67 | -31 | 34 |
| 17 | Everton | 36 | 7 | 11 | 18 | 32 | 56 | -24 | 32 |
| 18 | Leeds UnitedLeeds | 36 | 7 | 10 | 19 | 46 | 71 | -25 | 31 |
| 19 | Leicester CityLeicester | 36 | 8 | 6 | 22 | 49 | 67 | -18 | 30 |
| R | Southampton | 36 | 6 | 6 | 24 | 31 | 66 | -35 | 24 |
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