SM
| Current League Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
| 12 | Vizela | 3 | 0 | 4 |
| 13 | Gil Vicente | 3 | 0 | 4 |
| 14 | Santa Clara | 3 | -2 | 1 |
| Current League Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
| 5 | FC Twente | 2 | 4 | 6 |
| 6 | AZ Alkmaar | 2 | 3 | 6 |
| 7 | Heerenveen | 3 | 4 | 5 |
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Gil Vicente win with a probability of 42.01%. A win for AZ Alkmaar had a probability of 32.82% and a draw had a probability of 25.2%.
The most likely scoreline for a Gil Vicente win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.17%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.9%) and 2-0 (6.87%). The likeliest AZ Alkmaar win was 0-1 (7.93%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.88%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 7.7% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted that AZ Alkmaar would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Gil Vicente | Draw | AZ Alkmaar |
42.01% ( 0.11) | 25.17% ( -0.08) | 32.82% ( -0.03) |
| Both teams to score 56.37% ( 0.28) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 52.88% ( 0.37) | 47.11% ( -0.37) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 30.65% ( 0.34) | 69.35% ( -0.34) |
| Gil Vicente Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 77.64% ( 0.21) | 22.36% ( -0.22) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | ||||||||
| 44.14% ( 0.32) | 55.85% ( -0.32) |
| AZ Alkmaar Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 72.61% ( 0.16) | 27.39% ( -0.16) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | ||||||||
| 37.14% ( 0.21) | 62.86% ( -0.21) |
| Score Analysis |
| Gil Vicente | Draw | AZ Alkmaar |
| 1-0 @ 9.17% ( -0.08) 2-1 @ 8.9% ( 0.02)2-0 @ 6.87% ( -0.02)3-1 @ 4.44% ( 0.04)3-0 @ 3.43% ( 0.01)3-2 @ 2.88% ( 0.04)4-1 @ 1.66% ( 0.02)4-0 @ 1.28% ( 0.01)4-2 @ 1.08% ( 0.02)Other @ 2.3% Total : 42.01% | 1-1 @ 11.88% ( -0.05) 0-0 @ 6.12% ( -0.1)2-2 @ 5.76% ( 0.04)3-3 @ 1.24% ( 0.02)Other @ 0.16% Total : 25.17% | 0-1 @ 7.93% ( -0.09) 1-2 @ 7.69% ( 0)0-2 @ 5.14% ( -0.03)1-3 @ 3.32% ( 0.02)2-3 @ 2.49% ( 0.03)0-3 @ 2.22% ( -0)1-4 @ 1.08% ( 0.01)Other @ 2.96% Total : 32.82% |
| Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
| 1 | Manchester CityMan City | 35 | 27 | 4 | 4 | 92 | 31 | 61 | 85 |
| 2 | Arsenal | 36 | 25 | 6 | 5 | 83 | 42 | 41 | 81 |
| 3 | Newcastle UnitedNewcastle | 36 | 19 | 12 | 5 | 67 | 32 | 35 | 69 |
| 4 | Manchester UnitedMan Utd | 35 | 20 | 6 | 9 | 51 | 41 | 10 | 66 |
| 5 | Liverpool | 36 | 19 | 8 | 9 | 70 | 42 | 28 | 65 |
| 6 | Brighton & Hove AlbionBrighton | 35 | 17 | 7 | 11 | 67 | 49 | 18 | 58 |
| 7 | Tottenham HotspurSpurs | 36 | 17 | 6 | 13 | 65 | 59 | 6 | 57 |
| 8 | Aston Villa | 36 | 17 | 6 | 13 | 48 | 44 | 4 | 57 |
| 9 | Brentford | 36 | 13 | 14 | 9 | 54 | 45 | 9 | 53 |
| 10 | Fulham | 36 | 15 | 6 | 15 | 52 | 49 | 3 | 51 |
| 11 | Chelsea | 35 | 11 | 10 | 14 | 36 | 41 | -5 | 43 |
| 12 | Crystal Palace | 36 | 11 | 10 | 15 | 37 | 46 | -9 | 43 |
| 13 | Wolverhampton WanderersWolves | 36 | 11 | 7 | 18 | 30 | 52 | -22 | 40 |
| 14 | Bournemouth | 36 | 11 | 6 | 19 | 37 | 69 | -32 | 39 |
| 15 | West Ham UnitedWest Ham | 36 | 10 | 7 | 19 | 38 | 52 | -14 | 37 |
| 16 | Nottingham ForestNott'm Forest | 36 | 8 | 10 | 18 | 36 | 67 | -31 | 34 |
| 17 | Everton | 36 | 7 | 11 | 18 | 32 | 56 | -24 | 32 |
| 18 | Leeds UnitedLeeds | 36 | 7 | 10 | 19 | 46 | 71 | -25 | 31 |
| 19 | Leicester CityLeicester | 36 | 8 | 6 | 22 | 49 | 67 | -18 | 30 |
| R | Southampton | 36 | 6 | 6 | 24 | 31 | 66 | -35 | 24 |
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