Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Gent win with a probability of 45.45%. A win for Maccabi Tel Aviv had a probability of 30.64% and a draw had a probability of 23.9%.
The most likely scoreline for a Gent win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.23%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (8.29%) and 2-0 (6.93%). The likeliest Maccabi Tel Aviv win was 1-2 (7.36%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.04%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 6.9% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Gent would win this match.