SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Maccabi Tel Aviv win with a probability of 69.61%. A draw had a probability of 19.5% and a win for Hapoel Hadera had a probability of 10.91%.
The most likely scoreline for a Maccabi Tel Aviv win was 0-2 with a probability of 14.13%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (13.99%) and 0-3 (9.52%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.09%), while for a Hapoel Hadera win it was 1-0 (4.5%). The actual scoreline of 0-3 was predicted with a 9.5% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Maccabi Tel Aviv would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Hapoel Hadera | Draw | Maccabi Tel Aviv |
10.91% ( 0.32) | 19.48% ( 0.47) | 69.61% ( -0.79) |
| Both teams to score 41.44% ( -0.32) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 49.88% ( -1.08) | 50.12% ( 1.08) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 27.91% ( -0.97) | 72.09% ( 0.97) |
| Hapoel Hadera Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 47.78% ( -0.07) | 52.22% ( 0.06) |
