SM
| Current League Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
| 3 | AEK Athens | 25 | 13 | 43 |
| 4 | Aris Thessaloniki | 25 | 6 | 42 |
| 5 | Panathinaikos | 25 | 18 | 39 |
| Current League Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Aris Thessaloniki win with a probability of 48.08%. A draw had a probability of 26.8% and a win for Neftchi Baku had a probability of 25.12%.
The most likely scoreline for an Aris Thessaloniki win was 1-0 with a probability of 13.2%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.44%) and 2-1 (8.99%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.57%), while for a Neftchi Baku win it was 0-1 (8.8%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 9.4% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Aris Thessaloniki would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Aris Thessaloniki | Draw | Neftchi Baku |
48.08% ( 0.1) | 26.8% ( -0.03) | 25.12% ( -0.08) |
| Both teams to score 46.71% ( 0.01) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 42.55% ( 0.04) | 57.45% ( -0.04) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 21.75% ( 0.03) | 78.25% ( -0.03) |
| Aris Thessaloniki Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 76.05% ( 0.07) | 23.95% ( -0.07) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | ||||||||
| 41.82% ( 0.1) | 58.18% ( -0.1) |
| Neftchi Baku Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 61.43% ( -0.05) | 38.57% ( 0.05) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | ||||||||
| 24.68% ( -0.04) | 75.32% ( 0.05) |
| Score Analysis |
| Aris Thessaloniki | Draw | Neftchi Baku |
| 1-0 @ 13.2% ( 0.01) 2-0 @ 9.44% ( 0.02)2-1 @ 8.99% ( 0.01)3-0 @ 4.5% ( 0.02)3-1 @ 4.28% ( 0.01)3-2 @ 2.04% ( 0)4-0 @ 1.61% ( 0.01)4-1 @ 1.53% ( 0.01)Other @ 2.5% Total : 48.08% | 1-1 @ 12.57% ( -0.01) 0-0 @ 9.24% ( -0.02)2-2 @ 4.28% ( -0)Other @ 0.71% Total : 26.8% | 0-1 @ 8.8% ( -0.03) 1-2 @ 5.99% ( -0.01)0-2 @ 4.19% ( -0.02)1-3 @ 1.9% ( -0.01)2-3 @ 1.36% ( -0)0-3 @ 1.33% ( -0.01)Other @ 1.54% Total : 25.12% |
| Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
| 1 | Manchester CityMan City | 35 | 27 | 4 | 4 | 92 | 31 | 61 | 85 |
| 2 | Arsenal | 36 | 25 | 6 | 5 | 83 | 42 | 41 | 81 |
| 3 | Newcastle UnitedNewcastle | 36 | 19 | 12 | 5 | 67 | 32 | 35 | 69 |
| 4 | Manchester UnitedMan Utd | 35 | 20 | 6 | 9 | 51 | 41 | 10 | 66 |
| 5 | Liverpool | 36 | 19 | 8 | 9 | 70 | 42 | 28 | 65 |
| 6 | Brighton & Hove AlbionBrighton | 35 | 17 | 7 | 11 | 67 | 49 | 18 | 58 |
| 7 | Tottenham HotspurSpurs | 36 | 17 | 6 | 13 | 65 | 59 | 6 | 57 |
| 8 | Aston Villa | 36 | 17 | 6 | 13 | 48 | 44 | 4 | 57 |
| 9 | Brentford | 36 | 13 | 14 | 9 | 54 | 45 | 9 | 53 |
| 10 | Fulham | 36 | 15 | 6 | 15 | 52 | 49 | 3 | 51 |
| 11 | Chelsea | 35 | 11 | 10 | 14 | 36 | 41 | -5 | 43 |
| 12 | Crystal Palace | 36 | 11 | 10 | 15 | 37 | 46 | -9 | 43 |
| 13 | Wolverhampton WanderersWolves | 36 | 11 | 7 | 18 | 30 | 52 | -22 | 40 |
| 14 | Bournemouth | 36 | 11 | 6 | 19 | 37 | 69 | -32 | 39 |
| 15 | West Ham UnitedWest Ham | 36 | 10 | 7 | 19 | 38 | 52 | -14 | 37 |
| 16 | Nottingham ForestNott'm Forest | 36 | 8 | 10 | 18 | 36 | 67 | -31 | 34 |
| 17 | Everton | 36 | 7 | 11 | 18 | 32 | 56 | -24 | 32 |
| 18 | Leeds UnitedLeeds | 36 | 7 | 10 | 19 | 46 | 71 | -25 | 31 |
| 19 | Leicester CityLeicester | 36 | 8 | 6 | 22 | 49 | 67 | -18 | 30 |
| R | Southampton | 36 | 6 | 6 | 24 | 31 | 66 | -35 | 24 |
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