Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Olympiacos win with a probability of 48.12%. A win for Neftchi Baku had a probability of 29.23% and a draw had a probability of 22.6%.
The most likely scoreline for a Olympiacos win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.29%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (7.18%) and 0-2 (6.64%). The likeliest Neftchi Baku win was 2-1 (7.04%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.05%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 7.2% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Olympiacos would win this match.
