SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Vitesse win with a probability of 43.22%. A win for PEC Zwolle had a probability of 33.61% and a draw had a probability of 23.2%.
The most likely scoreline for a Vitesse win was 2-1 with a probability of 8.87%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (6.85%) and 2-0 (5.92%). The likeliest PEC Zwolle win was 1-2 (7.71%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.27%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 10.3% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Vitesse | Draw | PEC Zwolle |
43.22% ( 0.04) | 23.16% ( 0.01) | 33.61% ( -0.05) |
| Both teams to score 63.87% ( -0.05) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 62.57% ( -0.07) | 37.43% ( 0.07) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 40.34% ( -0.07) | 59.66% ( 0.08) |
| Vitesse Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 82.21% ( -0.01) | 17.79% ( 0.01) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | ||||||||
| 51.5% ( -0.02) | 48.5% ( 0.02) |
| PEC Zwolle Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 77.69% ( -0.06) | 22.31% ( 0.06) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | ||||||||
| 44.23% ( -0.09) | 55.77% ( 0.09) |
| Score Analysis |
| Vitesse | Draw | PEC Zwolle |
| 2-1 @ 8.87% ( 0.01) 1-0 @ 6.85% ( 0.02)2-0 @ 5.92% ( 0.01)3-1 @ 5.11% ( 0)3-2 @ 3.83% ( -0)3-0 @ 3.4% ( 0.01)4-1 @ 2.2% 4-2 @ 1.65% ( -0)4-0 @ 1.47% ( 0)Other @ 3.91% Total : 43.22% | 1-1 @ 10.27% ( 0.01) 2-2 @ 6.66% ( -0.01)0-0 @ 3.97% ( 0.01)3-3 @ 1.92% ( -0.01)Other @ 0.34% Total : 23.16% | 1-2 @ 7.71% ( -0) 0-1 @ 5.95% ( 0.01)0-2 @ 4.47% ( -0)1-3 @ 3.86% ( -0.01)2-3 @ 3.33% ( -0.01)0-3 @ 2.23% ( -0)1-4 @ 1.45% ( -0.01)2-4 @ 1.25% ( -0)Other @ 3.37% Total : 33.61% |
| Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
| 1 | PSV EindhovenPSV | 15 | 15 | 0 | 0 | 52 | 6 | 46 | 45 |
| 2 | Feyenoord | 15 | 11 | 2 | 2 | 44 | 14 | 30 | 35 |
| 3 | FC Twente | 15 | 10 | 3 | 2 | 32 | 17 | 15 | 33 |
| 4 | AZ AlkmaarAZ | 14 | 9 | 3 | 2 | 31 | 9 | 22 | 30 |
| 5 | Go Ahead Eagles | 14 | 6 | 4 | 4 | 25 | 20 | 5 | 22 |
| 6 | Ajax | 14 | 6 | 3 | 5 | 31 | 27 | 4 | 21 |
| 7 | Sparta RotterdamSparta | 14 | 6 | 3 | 5 | 19 | 18 | 1 | 21 |
| 8 | Heerenveen | 15 | 6 | 1 | 8 | 23 | 28 | -5 | 19 |
| 9 | PEC Zwolle | 14 | 5 | 2 | 7 | 20 | 23 | -3 | 17 |
| 10 | SBV ExcelsiorExcelsior | 15 | 3 | 7 | 5 | 26 | 31 | -5 | 16 |
| 11 | Fortuna SittardSittard | 14 | 4 | 4 | 6 | 15 | 24 | -9 | 16 |
| 12 | NECNijmegen | 14 | 3 | 6 | 5 | 24 | 26 | -2 | 15 |
| 13 | Heracles | 14 | 4 | 3 | 7 | 20 | 33 | -13 | 15 |
| 14 | FC UtrechtUtrecht | 14 | 3 | 4 | 7 | 14 | 25 | -11 | 13 |
| 15 | RKC WaalwijkRKC Waalwijk | 14 | 4 | 1 | 9 | 14 | 26 | -12 | 13 |
| 16 | Almere CityAlmere City | 14 | 3 | 4 | 7 | 12 | 30 | -18 | 13 |
| 17 | Vitesse | 14 | 2 | 2 | 10 | 10 | 32 | -22 | 8 |
| 18 | FC VolendamVolendam | 15 | 2 | 2 | 11 | 16 | 39 | -23 | 8 |
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