We said: SBV Excelsior 2-2 Go Ahead Eagles
Excelsior have seen their matches produce the fourth-highest number of combined goals, and we are anticipating another goal fest this weekend. That said, we can also see Saturday's opponents cancelling each other out and settling for a point apiece in the end.
Read more.Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Go Ahead Eagles win with a probability of 47.28%. A win for SBV Excelsior had a probability of 28.68% and a draw had a probability of 24%.
The most likely scoreline for a Go Ahead Eagles win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.4%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (8.95%) and 0-2 (7.5%). The likeliest SBV Excelsior win was 2-1 (7.04%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.22%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with an 11.2% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a draw in this match.
| Result |
| SBV Excelsior | Draw | Go Ahead Eagles |
28.68% ( 0.14) | 24.04% ( 0.09) | 47.28% ( -0.23) |
| Both teams to score 58.07% ( -0.21) |
| 56.07% ( -0.32) | 43.93% ( 0.32) |
| 33.68% ( -0.31) | 66.31% ( 0.31) |
| 71.46% ( -0.06) | 28.54% ( 0.06) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 35.67% ( -0.08) | 64.32% ( 0.07) |
| 81.27% ( -0.22) | 18.73% ( 0.22) |
