SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a FC Twente win with a probability of 51.51%. A win for Go Ahead Eagles had a probability of 25.69% and a draw had a probability of 22.8%.
The most likely scoreline for a FC Twente win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.65%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (8.45%) and 0-2 (7.78%). The likeliest Go Ahead Eagles win was 2-1 (6.49%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.47%). The actual scoreline of 1-3 was predicted with a 5.9% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that FC Twente would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Go Ahead Eagles | Draw | FC Twente |
25.69% ( -0.27) | 22.8% ( -0.16) | 51.51% ( 0.43) |
| Both teams to score 59.79% ( 0.31) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 59.49% ( 0.54) | 40.51% ( -0.53) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 37.11% ( 0.55) | 62.89% ( -0.54) |
| Go Ahead Eagles Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 71.05% ( 0.08) | 28.95% ( -0.08) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | ||||||||
| 35.17% ( 0.1) | 64.84% ( -0.1) |
| FC Twente Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 84.15% ( 0.35) | 15.85% ( -0.34) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | ||||||||
| 54.96% ( 0.63) | 45.04% ( -0.63) |
| Score Analysis |
| Go Ahead Eagles | Draw | FC Twente |
| 2-1 @ 6.49% ( -0.05) 1-0 @ 5.69% ( -0.13)2-0 @ 3.53% ( -0.07)3-1 @ 2.68% ( -0.02)3-2 @ 2.47% ( 0.02)3-0 @ 1.46% ( -0.02)Other @ 3.37% Total : 25.69% | 1-1 @ 10.47% ( -0.11) 2-2 @ 5.98% ( 0.02)0-0 @ 4.59% ( -0.11)3-3 @ 1.52% ( 0.03)Other @ 0.24% Total : 22.79% | 1-2 @ 9.65% ( 0.01) 0-1 @ 8.45% ( -0.11)0-2 @ 7.78% ( -0.01)1-3 @ 5.93% ( 0.08)0-3 @ 4.78% ( 0.05)2-3 @ 3.67% ( 0.06)1-4 @ 2.73% ( 0.07)0-4 @ 2.2% ( 0.05)2-4 @ 1.69% ( 0.05)1-5 @ 1.01% ( 0.04)Other @ 3.62% Total : 51.51% |
| Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
| 1 | PSV EindhovenPSV | 17 | 17 | 0 | 0 | 59 | 7 | 52 | 51 |
| 2 | Feyenoord | 17 | 12 | 3 | 2 | 50 | 16 | 34 | 39 |
| 3 | FC Twente | 17 | 11 | 4 | 2 | 36 | 20 | 16 | 37 |
| 4 | AZ AlkmaarAZ | 17 | 10 | 3 | 4 | 36 | 16 | 20 | 33 |
| 5 | Ajax | 17 | 8 | 4 | 5 | 38 | 32 | 6 | 28 |
| 6 | Sparta RotterdamSparta | 17 | 7 | 4 | 6 | 24 | 22 | 2 | 25 |
| 7 | Go Ahead Eagles | 17 | 6 | 5 | 6 | 28 | 26 | 2 | 23 |
| 8 | NECNijmegen | 17 | 5 | 7 | 5 | 33 | 30 | 3 | 22 |
| 9 | Heerenveen | 17 | 6 | 2 | 9 | 26 | 32 | -6 | 20 |
| 10 | PEC Zwolle | 17 | 5 | 4 | 8 | 25 | 30 | -5 | 19 |
| 11 | Fortuna SittardSittard | 17 | 5 | 4 | 8 | 17 | 30 | -13 | 19 |
| 12 | Almere CityAlmere City | 17 | 5 | 4 | 8 | 19 | 34 | -15 | 19 |
| 13 | FC UtrechtUtrecht | 17 | 4 | 6 | 7 | 17 | 26 | -9 | 18 |
| 14 | Heracles | 17 | 5 | 3 | 9 | 22 | 40 | -18 | 18 |
| 15 | SBV ExcelsiorExcelsior | 17 | 3 | 8 | 6 | 28 | 35 | -7 | 17 |
| 16 | RKC WaalwijkRKC Waalwijk | 17 | 4 | 2 | 11 | 16 | 30 | -14 | 14 |
| 17 | Vitesse | 17 | 3 | 3 | 11 | 12 | 37 | -25 | 12 |
| 18 | FC VolendamVolendam | 17 | 3 | 2 | 12 | 18 | 41 | -23 | 11 |
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