Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Heracles win with a probability of 51.98%. A win for Heerenveen had a probability of 25.81% and a draw had a probability of 22.2%.
The most likely scoreline for a Heracles win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.58%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (7.69%) and 2-0 (7.38%). The likeliest Heerenveen win was 1-2 (6.47%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (9.98%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 7.7% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Heracles would win this match.
