Coverage of the Eredivisie clash between Fortuna Sittard and Groningen.
Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Groningen win with a probability of 40.05%. A win for Fortuna Sittard had a probability of 35.03% and a draw had a probability of 24.9%.
The most likely scoreline for a Groningen win was 1-2 with a probability of 8.69%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (8.5%) and 0-2 (6.32%). The likeliest Fortuna Sittard win was 2-1 (8.03%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.68%). The actual scoreline of 1-3 was predicted with a 4.3% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Groningen would win this match.
