SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a FC Twente win with a probability of 55.44%. A win for FC Utrecht had a probability of 22.62% and a draw had a probability of 21.9%.
The most likely scoreline for a FC Twente win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.82%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (8.62%) and 2-0 (8.39%). The likeliest FC Utrecht win was 1-2 (5.9%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.08%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with an 8.4% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that FC Twente would win this match.
| Result | ||
| FC Twente | Draw | FC Utrecht |
55.44% ( 0.57) | 21.94% ( 0.16) | 22.62% ( -0.72) |
| Both teams to score 59.14% ( -1.53) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 60.28% ( -1.58) | 39.72% ( 1.59) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 37.92% ( -1.67) | 62.08% ( 1.67) |
| FC Twente Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 85.74% ( -0.36) | 14.26% ( 0.36) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | ||||||||
| 57.96% ( -0.7) | 42.04% ( 0.7) |
| FC Utrecht Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 68.98% ( -1.49) | 31.02% ( 1.5) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | ||||||||
| 32.67% ( -1.78) | 67.33% ( 1.79) |
| Score Analysis |
| FC Twente | Draw | FC Utrecht |
| 2-1 @ 9.82% ( 0.07) 1-0 @ 8.62% ( 0.52)2-0 @ 8.39% ( 0.4)3-1 @ 6.38% ( -0.03)3-0 @ 5.45% ( 0.19)3-2 @ 3.73% ( -0.18)4-1 @ 3.11% ( -0.06)4-0 @ 2.65% ( 0.06)4-2 @ 1.82% ( -0.11)5-1 @ 1.21% ( -0.04)5-0 @ 1.03% ( 0.01)Other @ 3.25% Total : 55.44% | 1-1 @ 10.08% ( 0.2) 2-2 @ 5.75% ( -0.2)0-0 @ 4.42% ( 0.32)3-3 @ 1.46% ( -0.13)Other @ 0.23% Total : 21.94% | 1-2 @ 5.9% ( -0.12) 0-1 @ 5.18% ( 0.17)0-2 @ 3.03% ( -0.02)1-3 @ 2.3% ( -0.15)2-3 @ 2.24% ( -0.18)0-3 @ 1.18% ( -0.06)Other @ 2.77% Total : 22.62% |
| Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
| 1 | Feyenoord | 29 | 21 | 7 | 1 | 70 | 27 | 43 | 70 |
| 2 | PSV EindhovenPSV | 29 | 19 | 5 | 5 | 78 | 35 | 43 | 62 |
| 3 | Ajax | 28 | 17 | 8 | 3 | 76 | 28 | 48 | 59 |
| 4 | AZ AlkmaarAZ | 28 | 16 | 6 | 6 | 53 | 32 | 21 | 54 |
| 5 | Sparta RotterdamSparta | 29 | 15 | 7 | 7 | 47 | 30 | 17 | 52 |
| 6 | FC Twente | 29 | 14 | 9 | 6 | 48 | 23 | 25 | 51 |
| 7 | FC UtrechtUtrecht | 29 | 12 | 9 | 8 | 45 | 42 | 3 | 45 |
| 8 | RKC WaalwijkRKC Waalwijk | 28 | 10 | 8 | 10 | 44 | 46 | -2 | 38 |
| 9 | Heerenveen | 29 | 10 | 8 | 11 | 34 | 42 | -8 | 38 |
| 10 | NECNijmegen | 29 | 7 | 14 | 8 | 38 | 34 | 4 | 35 |
| 11 | Fortuna SittardSittard | 28 | 9 | 5 | 14 | 35 | 51 | -16 | 32 |
| 12 | Go Ahead Eagles | 28 | 7 | 9 | 12 | 37 | 48 | -11 | 30 |
| 13 | Vitesse | 29 | 7 | 9 | 13 | 36 | 48 | -12 | 30 |
| 14 | FC VolendamVolendam | 29 | 7 | 6 | 16 | 34 | 61 | -27 | 27 |
| 15 | SBV ExcelsiorExcelsior | 29 | 8 | 3 | 18 | 27 | 66 | -39 | 27 |
| 16 | EmmenEmmen | 28 | 5 | 10 | 13 | 25 | 46 | -21 | 25 |
| 17 | Groningen | 29 | 4 | 5 | 20 | 28 | 59 | -31 | 17 |
| 18 | Cambuur | 29 | 4 | 4 | 21 | 21 | 58 | -37 | 16 |
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