SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Ajax win with a probability of 72.81%. A draw had a probability of 14.8% and a win for Vitesse had a probability of 12.42%.
The most likely scoreline for an Ajax win was 2-1 with a probability of 8.45%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 3-1 (8.13%) and 2-0 (7.29%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (5.86%), while for a Vitesse win it was 1-2 (3.39%). The actual scoreline of 2-2 was predicted with a 4.9% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Ajax | Draw | Vitesse |
72.81% ( -1.6) | 14.76% ( 0.92) | 12.42% ( 0.68) |
| Both teams to score 64.78% ( -1.98) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 76.83% ( -3) | 23.16% ( 3) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 57.52% ( -4.15) | 42.48% ( 4.14) |
| Ajax Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 94.41% ( -0.9) | 5.58% ( 0.89) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | ||||||||
| 78.31% ( -2.66) | 21.69% ( 2.65) |
| Vitesse Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 68.61% ( -1.44) | 31.38% ( 1.43) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | ||||||||
| 32.25% ( -1.7) | 67.75% ( 1.69) |
| Score Analysis |
| Ajax | Draw | Vitesse |
| 2-1 @ 8.45% ( 0.53) 3-1 @ 8.13% ( 0.04)2-0 @ 7.29% ( 0.72)3-0 @ 7.02% ( 0.31)4-1 @ 5.87% ( -0.32)4-0 @ 5.06% ( -0.07)1-0 @ 5.05% ( 0.76)3-2 @ 4.71% ( -0.16)4-2 @ 3.4% ( -0.33)5-1 @ 3.39% ( -0.4)5-0 @ 2.92% ( -0.22)5-2 @ 1.96% ( -0.32)6-1 @ 1.63% ( -0.3)6-0 @ 1.41% ( -0.2)4-3 @ 1.31% ( -0.19)6-2 @ 0.94% ( -0.22)Other @ 4.27% Total : 72.81% | 1-1 @ 5.86% ( 0.68) 2-2 @ 4.9% ( 0.12)3-3 @ 1.82% ( -0.14)0-0 @ 1.75% ( 0.35)Other @ 0.44% Total : 14.76% | 1-2 @ 3.39% ( 0.27) 0-1 @ 2.03% ( 0.34)2-3 @ 1.89% ( -0.03)1-3 @ 1.31% ( 0.06)0-2 @ 1.18% ( 0.16)Other @ 2.62% Total : 12.42% |
| Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
| 1 | Feyenoord | 23 | 15 | 7 | 1 | 53 | 22 | 31 | 52 |
| 2 | Ajax | 23 | 14 | 7 | 2 | 65 | 23 | 42 | 49 |
| 3 | AZ AlkmaarAZ | 23 | 14 | 5 | 4 | 49 | 28 | 21 | 47 |
| 4 | PSV EindhovenPSV | 23 | 14 | 4 | 5 | 60 | 28 | 32 | 46 |
| 5 | FC Twente | 23 | 11 | 7 | 5 | 36 | 18 | 18 | 40 |
| 6 | Sparta RotterdamSparta | 23 | 10 | 7 | 6 | 32 | 25 | 7 | 37 |
| 7 | FC UtrechtUtrecht | 23 | 10 | 7 | 6 | 38 | 35 | 3 | 37 |
| 8 | RKC WaalwijkRKC Waalwijk | 23 | 8 | 8 | 7 | 39 | 36 | 3 | 32 |
| 9 | NECNijmegen | 23 | 6 | 12 | 5 | 30 | 22 | 8 | 30 |
| 10 | Heerenveen | 23 | 8 | 6 | 9 | 24 | 29 | -5 | 30 |
| 11 | Go Ahead Eagles | 23 | 6 | 8 | 9 | 33 | 39 | -6 | 26 |
| 12 | Fortuna SittardSittard | 23 | 7 | 5 | 11 | 29 | 40 | -11 | 26 |
| 13 | Vitesse | 23 | 5 | 8 | 10 | 28 | 41 | -13 | 23 |
| 14 | FC VolendamVolendam | 23 | 5 | 5 | 13 | 25 | 52 | -27 | 20 |
| 15 | SBV ExcelsiorExcelsior | 23 | 6 | 2 | 15 | 20 | 54 | -34 | 20 |
| 16 | EmmenEmmen | 23 | 3 | 9 | 11 | 20 | 40 | -20 | 18 |
| 17 | Groningen | 23 | 4 | 5 | 14 | 25 | 48 | -23 | 17 |
| 18 | Cambuur | 23 | 3 | 4 | 16 | 13 | 39 | -26 | 13 |
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