Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Ajax win with a probability of 42.41%. A win for Rangers had a probability of 34.63% and a draw had a probability of 23%.
The most likely scoreline for an Ajax win was 1-2 with a probability of 8.73%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (6.47%) and 0-2 (5.62%). The likeliest Rangers win was 2-1 (7.8%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.04%). The actual scoreline of 1-3 was predicted with a 5.1% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Ajax would win this match.
Result | ||
Rangers | Draw | Ajax |
34.63% ( -0.21) | 22.96% ( 0.05) | 42.41% ( 0.16) |
Both teams to score 64.96% ( -0.25) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
63.86% ( -0.31) | 36.14% ( 0.31) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
41.75% ( -0.34) | 58.25% ( 0.34) |
Rangers Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
78.83% ( -0.25) | 21.16% ( 0.25) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
45.97% ( -0.39) | 54.03% ( 0.39) |
Ajax Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
82.4% ( -0.06) | 17.6% ( 0.06) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
51.83% ( -0.1) | 48.17% ( 0.1) |
Score Analysis |
Rangers | Draw | Ajax |
2-1 @ 7.8% ( -0.02) 1-0 @ 5.78% ( 0.04) 2-0 @ 4.49% 3-1 @ 4.04% ( -0.04) 3-2 @ 3.51% ( -0.04) 3-0 @ 2.32% ( -0.02) 4-1 @ 1.57% ( -0.03) 4-2 @ 1.36% ( -0.03) 4-0 @ 0.9% ( -0.01) Other @ 2.85% Total : 34.63% | 1-1 @ 10.04% ( 0.05) 2-2 @ 6.78% ( -0.03) 0-0 @ 3.72% ( 0.06) 3-3 @ 2.03% ( -0.03) Other @ 0.38% Total : 22.96% | 1-2 @ 8.73% ( 0.03) 0-1 @ 6.47% ( 0.09) 0-2 @ 5.62% ( 0.06) 1-3 @ 5.06% ( 0.01) 2-3 @ 3.93% ( -0.02) 0-3 @ 3.26% ( 0.03) 1-4 @ 2.2% 2-4 @ 1.71% ( -0.01) 0-4 @ 1.41% ( 0.01) Other @ 4.03% Total : 42.41% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Manchester CityMan City | 35 | 27 | 4 | 4 | 92 | 31 | 61 | 85 |
2 | Arsenal | 36 | 25 | 6 | 5 | 83 | 42 | 41 | 81 |
3 | Newcastle UnitedNewcastle | 35 | 18 | 12 | 5 | 63 | 31 | 32 | 66 |
4 | Manchester UnitedMan Utd | 35 | 20 | 6 | 9 | 51 | 41 | 10 | 66 |
5 | Liverpool | 36 | 19 | 8 | 9 | 70 | 42 | 28 | 65 |
6 | Brighton & Hove AlbionBrighton | 34 | 17 | 7 | 10 | 66 | 45 | 21 | 58 |
7 | Tottenham HotspurSpurs | 36 | 17 | 6 | 13 | 65 | 59 | 6 | 57 |
8 | Aston Villa | 36 | 17 | 6 | 13 | 48 | 44 | 4 | 57 |
9 | Brentford | 36 | 13 | 14 | 9 | 54 | 45 | 9 | 53 |
10 | Fulham | 36 | 15 | 6 | 15 | 52 | 49 | 3 | 51 |
11 | Chelsea | 35 | 11 | 10 | 14 | 36 | 41 | -5 | 43 |
12 | Crystal Palace | 36 | 11 | 10 | 15 | 37 | 46 | -9 | 43 |
13 | Wolverhampton WanderersWolves | 36 | 11 | 7 | 18 | 30 | 52 | -22 | 40 |
14 | Bournemouth | 36 | 11 | 6 | 19 | 37 | 69 | -32 | 39 |
15 | West Ham UnitedWest Ham | 36 | 10 | 7 | 19 | 38 | 52 | -14 | 37 |
16 | Nottingham ForestNott'm Forest | 36 | 8 | 10 | 18 | 36 | 67 | -31 | 34 |
17 | Everton | 36 | 7 | 11 | 18 | 32 | 56 | -24 | 32 |
18 | Leeds UnitedLeeds | 36 | 7 | 10 | 19 | 46 | 71 | -25 | 31 |
19 | Leicester CityLeicester | 36 | 8 | 6 | 22 | 49 | 67 | -18 | 30 |
R | Southampton | 36 | 6 | 6 | 24 | 31 | 66 | -35 | 24 |
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