SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a FK Haugesund win with a probability of 41.55%. A win for Sarpsborg 08 had a probability of 34.16% and a draw had a probability of 24.3%.
The most likely scoreline for a FK Haugesund win was 2-1 with a probability of 8.85%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (7.98%) and 2-0 (6.28%). The likeliest Sarpsborg 08 win was 1-2 (7.9%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.22%). The actual scoreline of 0-0 was predicted with a 5.1% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| FK Haugesund | Draw | Sarpsborg 08 |
41.55% ( -0.04) | 24.29% ( -0.07) | 34.16% ( 0.12) |
| Both teams to score 59.9% ( 0.3) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 57.31% ( 0.38) | 42.69% ( -0.38) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 34.9% ( 0.37) | 65.09% ( -0.37) |
| FK Haugesund Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 79.31% ( 0.14) | 20.69% ( -0.14) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | ||||||||
| 46.71% ( 0.22) | 53.29% ( -0.22) |
| Sarpsborg 08 Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 75.53% ( 0.24) | 24.47% ( -0.25) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | ||||||||
| 41.09% ( 0.34) | 58.91% ( -0.34) |
| Score Analysis |
| FK Haugesund | Draw | Sarpsborg 08 |
| 2-1 @ 8.85% ( -0.01) 1-0 @ 7.98% ( -0.1)2-0 @ 6.28% ( -0.05)3-1 @ 4.65% ( 0.01)3-0 @ 3.3% ( -0.01)3-2 @ 3.27% ( 0.03)4-1 @ 1.83% ( 0.01)4-0 @ 1.3% ( 0)4-2 @ 1.29% ( 0.02)Other @ 2.81% Total : 41.55% | 1-1 @ 11.22% ( -0.06) 2-2 @ 6.23% ( 0.04)0-0 @ 5.06% ( -0.09)3-3 @ 1.54% ( 0.03)Other @ 0.23% Total : 24.28% | 1-2 @ 7.9% ( 0.01) 0-1 @ 7.13% ( -0.07)0-2 @ 5.02% ( -0.01)1-3 @ 3.71% ( 0.03)2-3 @ 2.92% ( 0.04)0-3 @ 2.35% ( 0.01)1-4 @ 1.31% ( 0.02)2-4 @ 1.03% ( 0.02)Other @ 2.8% Total : 34.16% |
| Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
| 1 | Bodo/GlimtBodo/Glimt | 10 | 9 | 1 | 0 | 29 | 9 | 20 | 28 |
| 2 | SK BrannBrann | 10 | 6 | 2 | 2 | 21 | 10 | 11 | 20 |
| 3 | Tromso ILTromso | 9 | 5 | 2 | 2 | 11 | 8 | 3 | 17 |
| 4 | MoldeMolde | 10 | 5 | 1 | 4 | 24 | 15 | 9 | 16 |
| 5 | Lillestrom | 9 | 5 | 1 | 3 | 16 | 14 | 2 | 16 |
| 6 | Sarpsborg 08Sarpsborg | 9 | 4 | 3 | 2 | 11 | 8 | 3 | 15 |
| 7 | Viking FKViking FK | 9 | 4 | 2 | 3 | 20 | 18 | 2 | 14 |
| 8 | Stabaek FootballStabaek | 9 | 4 | 2 | 3 | 12 | 15 | -3 | 14 |
| 9 | RosenborgRosenborg | 10 | 3 | 3 | 4 | 12 | 13 | -1 | 12 |
| 10 | Valerenga FotballValerenga | 9 | 3 | 1 | 5 | 14 | 16 | -2 | 10 |
| 11 | Odd | 10 | 2 | 4 | 4 | 7 | 11 | -4 | 10 |
| 12 | SandefjordSandefjord | 9 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 10 | 12 | -2 | 9 |
| 13 | FK HaugesundHaugesund | 9 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 7 | 13 | -6 | 9 |
| 14 | StromsgodsetStromsgodset | 9 | 2 | 2 | 5 | 10 | 14 | -4 | 8 |
| 15 | HamKam | 9 | 2 | 1 | 6 | 10 | 23 | -13 | 7 |
| 16 | Aalesund | 10 | 1 | 1 | 8 | 5 | 20 | -15 | 4 |
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