SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Carlisle United win with a probability of 54.16%. A draw had a probability of 23.2% and a win for Nottingham Forest Under-21s had a probability of 22.67%.
The most likely scoreline for a Carlisle United win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.14%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.82%) and 2-0 (9.11%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.93%), while for a Nottingham Forest Under-21s win it was 0-1 (6.09%). The actual scoreline of 0-2 was predicted with a 3.3% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Carlisle United | Draw | Nottingham Forest Under-21s |
54.16% ( 0.33) | 23.17% ( 0.2) | 22.67% ( -0.53) |
| Both teams to score 55.02% ( -1.34) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 54.78% ( -1.46) | 45.22% ( 1.45) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 32.44% ( -1.41) | 67.56% ( 1.41) |
| Carlisle United Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 83.39% ( -0.41) | 16.61% ( 0.4) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | ||||||||
| 53.57% ( -0.73) | 46.43% ( 0.73) |
| Nottingham Forest Under-21s Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 65.98% ( -1.28) | 34.02% ( 1.28) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | ||||||||
| 29.29% ( -1.4) | 70.71% ( 1.4) |
| Score Analysis |
| Carlisle United | Draw | Nottingham Forest Under-21s |
| 1-0 @ 10.14% ( 0.48) 2-1 @ 9.82% ( 0.01)2-0 @ 9.11% ( 0.32)3-1 @ 5.87% ( -0.08)3-0 @ 5.45% ( 0.12)3-2 @ 3.17% ( -0.16)4-1 @ 2.64% ( -0.07)4-0 @ 2.45% ( 0.02)4-2 @ 1.42% ( -0.09)5-1 @ 0.95% ( -0.04)Other @ 3.16% Total : 54.16% | 1-1 @ 10.93% ( 0.15) 0-0 @ 5.65% ( 0.34)2-2 @ 5.29% ( -0.18)3-3 @ 1.14% ( -0.1)Other @ 0.15% Total : 23.16% | 0-1 @ 6.09% ( 0.17) 1-2 @ 5.9% ( -0.12)0-2 @ 3.29% ( -0.02)1-3 @ 2.12% ( -0.12)2-3 @ 1.9% ( -0.14)0-3 @ 1.18% ( -0.05)Other @ 2.19% Total : 22.67% |
| Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
| 1 | Liverpool | 20 | 13 | 6 | 1 | 43 | 18 | 25 | 45 |
| 2 | Aston Villa | 20 | 13 | 3 | 4 | 43 | 27 | 16 | 42 |
| 3 | Manchester CityMan City | 19 | 12 | 4 | 3 | 45 | 21 | 24 | 40 |
| 4 | Arsenal | 20 | 12 | 4 | 4 | 37 | 20 | 17 | 40 |
| 5 | Tottenham HotspurSpurs | 20 | 12 | 3 | 5 | 42 | 29 | 13 | 39 |
| 6 | West Ham UnitedWest Ham | 20 | 10 | 4 | 6 | 33 | 30 | 3 | 34 |
| 7 | Brighton & Hove AlbionBrighton | 20 | 8 | 7 | 5 | 38 | 33 | 5 | 31 |
| 8 | Manchester UnitedMan Utd | 20 | 10 | 1 | 9 | 22 | 27 | -5 | 31 |
| 9 | Newcastle UnitedNewcastle | 20 | 9 | 2 | 9 | 39 | 29 | 10 | 29 |
| 10 | Chelsea | 20 | 8 | 4 | 8 | 34 | 31 | 3 | 28 |
| 11 | Wolverhampton WanderersWolves | 20 | 8 | 4 | 8 | 30 | 31 | -1 | 28 |
| 12 | Bournemouth | 19 | 7 | 4 | 8 | 28 | 35 | -7 | 25 |
| 13 | Fulham | 20 | 7 | 3 | 10 | 28 | 35 | -7 | 24 |
| 14 | Crystal Palace | 20 | 5 | 6 | 9 | 22 | 29 | -7 | 21 |
| 15 | Nottingham ForestNott'm Forest | 20 | 5 | 5 | 10 | 24 | 35 | -11 | 20 |
| 16 | Brentford | 19 | 5 | 4 | 10 | 26 | 31 | -5 | 19 |
| 17 | Everton | 20 | 8 | 2 | 10 | 24 | 28 | -4 | 16 |
| 18 | Luton TownLuton | 20 | 4 | 4 | 12 | 24 | 38 | -14 | 16 |
| 19 | Burnley | 21 | 3 | 3 | 15 | 21 | 42 | -21 | 12 |
| 20 | Sheffield UnitedSheff Utd | 20 | 2 | 3 | 15 | 15 | 49 | -34 | 9 |
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