SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Bolton Wanderers win with a probability of 63.73%. A draw had a probability of 18.7% and a win for Manchester United Under-21s had a probability of 17.56%.
The most likely scoreline for a Bolton Wanderers win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.56%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (8.19%) and 3-1 (7.5%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (8.13%), while for a Manchester United Under-21s win it was 1-2 (4.75%). The actual scoreline of 8-1 was predicted with a 0.1% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Bolton Wanderers would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Bolton Wanderers | Draw | Manchester United Under-21s |
63.73% ( 0.01) | 18.71% ( -0.01) | 17.56% ( -0) |
| Both teams to score 62.32% ( 0.03) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 68.27% ( 0.04) | 31.73% ( -0.05) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 46.75% ( 0.05) | 53.25% ( -0.05) |
| Bolton Wanderers Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 90.48% ( 0.01) | 9.52% ( -0.02) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | ||||||||
| 68.09% ( 0.03) | 31.9% ( -0.04) |
| Manchester United Under-21s Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 68.87% ( 0.02) | 31.12% ( -0.02) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | ||||||||
| 32.55% ( 0.02) | 67.45% ( -0.03) |
| Score Analysis |
| Bolton Wanderers | Draw | Manchester United Under-21s |
| 2-1 @ 9.56% ( -0) 2-0 @ 8.19% ( -0.01)3-1 @ 7.5% ( 0)1-0 @ 6.97% ( -0.01)3-0 @ 6.42% ( -0)4-1 @ 4.41% ( 0)3-2 @ 4.38% ( 0)4-0 @ 3.78% ( 0)4-2 @ 2.57% ( 0)5-1 @ 2.07% ( 0)5-0 @ 1.78% ( 0)5-2 @ 1.21% ( 0)4-3 @ 1% ( 0)Other @ 3.89% Total : 63.73% | 1-1 @ 8.13% ( -0.01) 2-2 @ 5.58% ( 0)0-0 @ 2.96% ( -0.01)3-3 @ 1.7% ( 0)Other @ 0.33% Total : 18.71% | 1-2 @ 4.75% ( -0) 0-1 @ 3.46% ( -0.01)2-3 @ 2.17% ( 0)0-2 @ 2.02% ( -0)1-3 @ 1.85% ( 0)Other @ 3.32% Total : 17.56% |
| Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
| 1 | Liverpool | 20 | 13 | 6 | 1 | 43 | 18 | 25 | 45 |
| 2 | Aston Villa | 20 | 13 | 3 | 4 | 43 | 27 | 16 | 42 |
| 3 | Manchester CityMan City | 19 | 12 | 4 | 3 | 45 | 21 | 24 | 40 |
| 4 | Arsenal | 20 | 12 | 4 | 4 | 37 | 20 | 17 | 40 |
| 5 | Tottenham HotspurSpurs | 20 | 12 | 3 | 5 | 42 | 29 | 13 | 39 |
| 6 | West Ham UnitedWest Ham | 20 | 10 | 4 | 6 | 33 | 30 | 3 | 34 |
| 7 | Brighton & Hove AlbionBrighton | 20 | 8 | 7 | 5 | 38 | 33 | 5 | 31 |
| 8 | Manchester UnitedMan Utd | 20 | 10 | 1 | 9 | 22 | 27 | -5 | 31 |
| 9 | Newcastle UnitedNewcastle | 20 | 9 | 2 | 9 | 39 | 29 | 10 | 29 |
| 10 | Chelsea | 20 | 8 | 4 | 8 | 34 | 31 | 3 | 28 |
| 11 | Wolverhampton WanderersWolves | 20 | 8 | 4 | 8 | 30 | 31 | -1 | 28 |
| 12 | Bournemouth | 19 | 7 | 4 | 8 | 28 | 35 | -7 | 25 |
| 13 | Fulham | 20 | 7 | 3 | 10 | 28 | 35 | -7 | 24 |
| 14 | Crystal Palace | 20 | 5 | 6 | 9 | 22 | 29 | -7 | 21 |
| 15 | Nottingham ForestNott'm Forest | 20 | 5 | 5 | 10 | 24 | 35 | -11 | 20 |
| 16 | Brentford | 19 | 5 | 4 | 10 | 26 | 31 | -5 | 19 |
| 17 | Everton | 20 | 8 | 2 | 10 | 24 | 28 | -4 | 16 |
| 18 | Luton TownLuton | 20 | 4 | 4 | 12 | 24 | 38 | -14 | 16 |
| 19 | Burnley | 21 | 3 | 3 | 15 | 21 | 42 | -21 | 12 |
| 20 | Sheffield UnitedSheff Utd | 20 | 2 | 3 | 15 | 15 | 49 | -34 | 9 |
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