Neither team is in particularly good form coming into this one, but we still anticipate an entertaining contest with a lot of attacking endeavour from both sides. That said, we are also backing the hosts to just about get the job done in the end.
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Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Stoke City win with a probability of 56.39%. A draw had a probability of 24.4% and a win for Rotherham United had a probability of 19.19%.
The most likely scoreline for a Stoke City win was 1-0 with a probability of 13.53%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (11.18%) and 2-1 (9.5%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.49%), while for a Rotherham United win it was 0-1 (6.96%). The actual scoreline of 6-1 was predicted with a 0.2% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Stoke City would win this match.
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