SM
| Current League Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
| 16 | Oxford United | 2 | 0 | 3 |
| 17 | Port Vale | 2 | -3 | 3 |
| 18 | Portsmouth | 2 | 0 | 2 |
| Current League Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
| 18 | Coventry City | 1 | 0 | 1 |
| 19 | Rotherham United | 1 | 0 | 1 |
| 20 | Middlesbrough | 2 | -1 | 1 |
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Rotherham United win with a probability of 40.41%. A win for Port Vale had a probability of 32.91% and a draw had a probability of 26.7%.
The most likely scoreline for a Rotherham United win was 0-1 with a probability of 10.68%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.54%) and 0-2 (7.19%). The likeliest Port Vale win was 1-0 (9.42%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.68%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with an 8.5% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a 1-2 win for Rotherham United in this match and our data analysis correctly predicted the win for Rotherham United.
| Result | ||
| Port Vale | Draw | Rotherham United |
32.91% ( 0.06) | 26.69% ( 0.22) | 40.41% ( -0.29) |
| Both teams to score 51.42% ( -0.7) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 46.49% ( -0.9) | 53.51% ( 0.91) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 24.97% ( -0.77) | 75.03% ( 0.77) |
| Port Vale Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 69.51% ( -0.41) | 30.49% ( 0.41) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 33.29% ( -0.49) | 66.71% ( 0.49) |
| Rotherham United Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 73.98% ( -0.56) | 26.02% ( 0.57) |
