Current League Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
18 | Colchester United | 5 | -3 | 4 |
19 | Newport County | 5 | -3 | 4 |
20 | Gillingham | 5 | -6 | 4 |
Current League Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
2 | Peterborough United | 5 | 8 | 12 |
3 | Portsmouth | 5 | 7 | 11 |
4 | Sheffield Wednesday | 5 | 2 | 10 |
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Newport County win with a probability of 41.47%. A win for Portsmouth had a probability of 31.81% and a draw had a probability of 26.7%.
The most likely scoreline for a Newport County win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.97%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.64%) and 2-0 (7.47%). The likeliest Portsmouth win was 0-1 (9.33%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.69%). The actual scoreline of 3-2 was predicted with a 2.3% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Newport County would win this match.
Result | ||
Newport County | Draw | Portsmouth |
41.47% ( 0.03) | 26.73% ( -0) | 31.81% ( -0.03) |
Both teams to score 50.97% ( -0.01) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
46.06% ( -0) | 53.94% ( 0) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
24.61% ( -0) | 75.39% ( 0) |
Newport County Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
74.35% ( 0.01) | 25.65% ( -0.02) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
39.45% ( 0.02) | 60.55% ( -0.02) |
Portsmouth Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
68.55% ( -0.02) | 31.45% ( 0.02) |