SM
| Current League Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
| 8 | Queens Park Rangers | 2 | 0 | 3 |
| 9 | Cardiff City | 2 | 0 | 3 |
| 10 | Millwall | 2 | 0 | 3 |
| Current League Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
| 17 | Port Vale | 2 | -3 | 3 |
| 18 | Portsmouth | 2 | 0 | 2 |
| 19 | Lincoln City | 2 | 0 | 2 |
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Portsmouth win with a probability of 42%. A win for Cardiff City had a probability of 32.69% and a draw had a probability of 25.3%.
The most likely scoreline for a Portsmouth win was 0-1 with a probability of 9.35%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.89%) and 0-2 (6.94%). The likeliest Cardiff City win was 1-0 (8.06%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.97%). The actual scoreline of 0-3 was predicted with a 3.4% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Portsmouth would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Cardiff City | Draw | Portsmouth |
32.69% ( -0.02) | 25.31% ( 0) | 42% ( 0.02) |
| Both teams to score 55.85% ( -0.01) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 52.22% ( -0.01) | 47.78% ( 0.01) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 30.03% ( -0.01) | 69.97% ( 0.01) |
| Cardiff City Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 72.2% ( -0.01) | 27.8% ( 0.02) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 36.62% ( -0.02) | 63.38% ( 0.02) |
| Portsmouth Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 77.34% ( 0.01) | 22.66% ( -0.01) |
