SM
| Current League Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
| 8 | Bristol Rovers | 2 | 3 | 3 |
| 9 | Fleetwood Town | 2 | 0 | 3 |
| 10 | Forest Green Rovers | 2 | 0 | 3 |
| Current League Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
| 15 | Luton Town | 2 | 0 | 2 |
| 16 | Wigan Athletic | 2 | 0 | 2 |
| 17 | Preston North End | 2 | 0 | 2 |
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Wigan Athletic win with a probability of 49.87%. A win for Fleetwood Town had a probability of 26.26% and a draw had a probability of 23.9%.
The most likely scoreline for a Wigan Athletic win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.59%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (9.53%) and 0-2 (8.15%). The likeliest Fleetwood Town win was 2-1 (6.6%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.21%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 6.6% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Fleetwood Town | Draw | Wigan Athletic |
26.26% ( -0.01) | 23.87% ( 0.01) | 49.87% ( -0.01) |
| Both teams to score 56.66% ( -0.05) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 55.1% ( -0.06) | 44.9% ( 0.06) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 32.75% ( -0.06) | 67.25% ( 0.05) |
| Fleetwood Town Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 69.17% ( -0.04) | 30.83% ( 0.04) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 32.89% ( -0.05) | 67.1% ( 0.04) |
| Wigan Athletic Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 81.92% ( -0.03) | 18.08% ( 0.02) |
