Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Wigan Athletic win with a probability of 47.07%. A win for Norwich City had a probability of 28.37% and a draw had a probability of 24.6%.
The most likely scoreline for a Wigan Athletic win was 0-1 with a probability of 9.64%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.38%) and 0-2 (7.8%). The likeliest Norwich City win was 1-0 (7.16%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.59%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with an 11.6% likelihood.