SM
| Current League Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
| 21 | Morecambe | 2 | -3 | 1 |
| 22 | Cheltenham Town | 2 | -2 | 0 |
| 23 | MK Dons | 2 | -2 | 0 |
| Current League Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
| 1 | Peterborough United | 2 | 4 | 6 |
| 2 | Exeter City | 2 | 4 | 4 |
| 3 | Bolton Wanderers | 2 | 3 | 4 |
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Exeter City win with a probability of 47.98%. A win for Cheltenham Town had a probability of 28.45% and a draw had a probability of 23.6%.
The most likely scoreline for a Exeter City win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.44%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (8.48%) and 0-2 (7.35%). The likeliest Cheltenham Town win was 2-1 (6.99%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.88%). The actual scoreline of 0-7 was predicted with a 0% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Exeter City would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Cheltenham Town | Draw | Exeter City |
28.45% ( 0.02) | 23.57% ( 0.01) | 47.98% ( -0.04) |
| Both teams to score 59.54% ( -0.03) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 58.07% ( -0.05) | 41.92% ( 0.05) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 35.67% ( -0.05) | 64.33% ( 0.05) |
| Cheltenham Town Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 72.32% ( -0.01) | 27.68% ( 0.01) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 36.76% ( -0.01) | 63.24% ( 0.01) |
| Exeter City Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 82.33% ( -0.03) | 17.67% ( 0.03) |
