SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Chelsea win with a probability of 53.27%. A win for Newcastle United had a probability of 24.6% and a draw had a probability of 22.1%.
The most likely scoreline for a Chelsea win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.68%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (8.03%) and 2-0 (7.75%). The likeliest Newcastle United win was 1-2 (6.27%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.03%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 10% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Chelsea | Draw | Newcastle United |
53.27% ( -0) | 22.13% ( 0.01) | 24.6% ( -0.01) |
| Both teams to score 60.99% ( -0.02) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 61.59% ( -0.03) | 38.4% ( 0.03) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 39.31% ( -0.03) | 60.69% ( 0.03) |
| Chelsea Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 85.49% ( -0.01) | 14.5% ( 0.01) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | ||||||||
| 57.48% ( -0.02) | 42.51% ( 0.02) |
| Newcastle United Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 71.34% ( -0.02) | 28.66% ( 0.02) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | ||||||||
| 35.52% ( -0.02) | 64.47% ( 0.02) |
| Score Analysis |
| Chelsea | Draw | Newcastle United |
| 2-1 @ 9.68% ( 0) 1-0 @ 8.03% ( 0.01)2-0 @ 7.75% ( 0)3-1 @ 6.23% ( -0)3-0 @ 4.99% ( 0)3-2 @ 3.89% ( -0)4-1 @ 3.01% ( -0)4-0 @ 2.41% 4-2 @ 1.88% ( -0)5-1 @ 1.16% ( -0)5-0 @ 0.93% ( -0)Other @ 3.32% Total : 53.27% | 1-1 @ 10.03% ( 0.01) 2-2 @ 6.05% ( -0)0-0 @ 4.16% ( 0)3-3 @ 1.62% ( -0)Other @ 0.27% Total : 22.13% | 1-2 @ 6.27% ( -0) 0-1 @ 5.2% ( 0)0-2 @ 3.25% ( 0)1-3 @ 2.61% ( -0)2-3 @ 2.52% ( -0)0-3 @ 1.35% ( -0)Other @ 3.41% Total : 24.6% |
| Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
| 1 | Liverpool | 20 | 13 | 6 | 1 | 43 | 18 | 25 | 45 |
| 2 | Manchester CityMan City | 20 | 13 | 4 | 3 | 48 | 23 | 25 | 43 |
| 3 | Aston Villa | 20 | 13 | 3 | 4 | 43 | 27 | 16 | 42 |
| 4 | Arsenal | 20 | 12 | 4 | 4 | 37 | 20 | 17 | 40 |
| 5 | Tottenham HotspurSpurs | 20 | 12 | 3 | 5 | 42 | 29 | 13 | 39 |
| 6 | West Ham UnitedWest Ham | 20 | 10 | 4 | 6 | 33 | 30 | 3 | 34 |
| 7 | Brighton & Hove AlbionBrighton | 20 | 8 | 7 | 5 | 38 | 33 | 5 | 31 |
| 8 | Chelsea | 21 | 9 | 4 | 8 | 35 | 31 | 4 | 31 |
| 9 | Manchester UnitedMan Utd | 20 | 10 | 1 | 9 | 22 | 27 | -5 | 31 |
| 10 | Newcastle UnitedNewcastle | 21 | 9 | 2 | 10 | 41 | 32 | 9 | 29 |
| 11 | Wolverhampton WanderersWolves | 20 | 8 | 4 | 8 | 30 | 31 | -1 | 28 |
| 12 | Bournemouth | 19 | 7 | 4 | 8 | 28 | 35 | -7 | 25 |
| 13 | Fulham | 21 | 7 | 3 | 11 | 28 | 36 | -8 | 24 |
| 14 | Crystal Palace | 20 | 5 | 6 | 9 | 22 | 29 | -7 | 21 |
| 15 | Nottingham ForestNott'm Forest | 20 | 5 | 5 | 10 | 24 | 35 | -11 | 20 |
| 16 | Brentford | 19 | 5 | 4 | 10 | 26 | 31 | -5 | 19 |
| 17 | Everton | 20 | 8 | 2 | 10 | 24 | 28 | -4 | 16 |
| 18 | Luton TownLuton | 20 | 4 | 4 | 12 | 24 | 38 | -14 | 16 |
| 19 | Burnley | 21 | 3 | 3 | 15 | 21 | 42 | -21 | 12 |
| 20 | Sheffield UnitedSheff Utd | 20 | 2 | 3 | 15 | 15 | 49 | -34 | 9 |
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