SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Norwich City win with a probability of 43.1%. A win for Bristol City had a probability of 32.04% and a draw had a probability of 24.9%.
The most likely scoreline for a Norwich City win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.02%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (9%) and 0-2 (6.95%). The likeliest Bristol City win was 2-1 (7.58%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.68%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 9% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a 0-1 win for Norwich City in this match and our data analysis correctly predicted the win for Norwich City.
| Result | ||
| Bristol City | Draw | Norwich City |
32.04% ( 0.2) | 24.85% ( 0.01) | 43.1% ( -0.22) |
| Both teams to score 57.17% ( 0.04) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 54.05% ( 0.02) | 45.95% ( -0.03) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 31.74% ( 0.02) | 68.25% ( -0.02) |
| Bristol City Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 72.69% ( 0.14) | 27.31% ( -0.14) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 37.25% ( 0.18) | 62.75% ( -0.18) |
| Norwich City Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 78.65% ( -0.09) | 21.35% ( 0.09) |
