SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Roda JC win with a probability of 63.6%. A draw had a probability of 19.2% and a win for Jong PSV had a probability of 17.21%.
The most likely scoreline for a Roda JC win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.76%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (8.89%) and 1-0 (7.85%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (8.62%), while for a Jong PSV win it was 1-2 (4.73%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 9.8% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 2-1 win for Roda JC in this match.
| Result | ||
| Roda JC | Draw | Jong PSV |
63.6% ( 0.03) | 19.18% ( -0.01) | 17.21% ( -0.02) |
| Both teams to score 59.71% ( 0.02) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 65.27% ( 0.04) | 34.73% ( -0.04) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 43.31% ( 0.04) | 56.69% ( -0.04) |
| Roda JC Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 89.6% ( 0.02) | 10.4% ( -0.02) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | ||||||||
| 66.06% ( 0.04) | 33.94% ( -0.04) |
| Jong PSV Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 66.64% ( 0.01) | 33.36% ( -0.01) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | ||||||||
| 30.01% ( 0.01) | 69.98% ( -0.01) |
| Score Analysis |
| Roda JC | Draw | Jong PSV |
| 2-1 @ 9.76% ( -0) 2-0 @ 8.89% ( -0)1-0 @ 7.85% ( -0.01)3-1 @ 7.36% ( 0)3-0 @ 6.71% ( 0)4-1 @ 4.17% ( 0.01)3-2 @ 4.04% ( 0)4-0 @ 3.79% ( 0)4-2 @ 2.29% ( 0)5-1 @ 1.89% ( 0)5-0 @ 1.72% ( 0)5-2 @ 1.04% ( 0)Other @ 4.12% Total : 63.6% | 1-1 @ 8.62% ( -0.01) 2-2 @ 5.36% 0-0 @ 3.47% ( -0.01)3-3 @ 1.48% ( 0)Other @ 0.26% Total : 19.18% | 1-2 @ 4.73% ( -0) 0-1 @ 3.81% ( -0.01)0-2 @ 2.09% ( -0)2-3 @ 1.96% 1-3 @ 1.73% ( -0)Other @ 2.89% Total : 17.21% |
| Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
| 1 | Willem II | 21 | 15 | 3 | 3 | 46 | 18 | 28 | 48 |
| 2 | ADO Den HaagADO Den Haag | 21 | 11 | 7 | 3 | 43 | 26 | 17 | 40 |
| 3 | Roda JC | 20 | 11 | 6 | 3 | 34 | 16 | 18 | 39 |
| 4 | Dordrecht | 21 | 9 | 9 | 3 | 43 | 29 | 14 | 36 |
| 5 | Cambuur | 21 | 10 | 4 | 7 | 51 | 41 | 10 | 34 |
| 6 | De GraafschapDe Graafschap | 20 | 10 | 3 | 7 | 29 | 28 | 1 | 33 |
| 7 | Groningen | 20 | 9 | 5 | 6 | 32 | 20 | 12 | 32 |
| 8 | EmmenEmmen | 20 | 9 | 5 | 6 | 30 | 27 | 3 | 32 |
| 9 | NAC BredaNAC Breda | 20 | 9 | 4 | 7 | 37 | 30 | 7 | 31 |
| 10 | FC EindhovenFC Eindhoven | 20 | 7 | 9 | 4 | 29 | 24 | 5 | 30 |
| 11 | VVV-VenloVVV-Venlo | 20 | 8 | 5 | 7 | 32 | 32 | 0 | 29 |
| 12 | Jong AZJong AZ | 21 | 8 | 5 | 8 | 29 | 33 | -4 | 29 |
| 13 | MVV MaastrichtMVV | 21 | 7 | 5 | 9 | 31 | 34 | -3 | 26 |
| 14 | Helmond SportHelmond | 21 | 7 | 4 | 10 | 32 | 36 | -4 | 25 |
| 15 | Jong AjaxJong Ajax | 20 | 5 | 7 | 8 | 33 | 40 | -7 | 22 |
| 16 | Jong PSVJong PSV | 19 | 5 | 3 | 11 | 25 | 41 | -16 | 18 |
| 17 | Jong FC UtrechtJong Utrecht | 20 | 4 | 6 | 10 | 19 | 38 | -19 | 18 |
| 18 | Den BoschDen Bosch | 20 | 4 | 3 | 13 | 22 | 40 | -18 | 15 |
| 19 | TelstarTelstar | 21 | 4 | 3 | 14 | 20 | 38 | -18 | 15 |
| 20 | TOP OssOss | 21 | 3 | 2 | 16 | 12 | 38 | -26 | 11 |
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