SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a NAC Breda win with a probability of 39.39%. A win for TOP Oss had a probability of 36.07% and a draw had a probability of 24.5%.
The most likely scoreline for a NAC Breda win was 1-2 with a probability of 8.61%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (7.95%) and 0-2 (6%). The likeliest TOP Oss win was 2-1 (8.18%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.4%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with an 8.6% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-2 win for NAC Breda in this match.
| Result | ||
| TOP Oss | Draw | NAC Breda |
36.07% ( -0.04) | 24.54% ( 0.01) | 39.39% ( 0.03) |
| Both teams to score 59.35% ( -0.03) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 56.43% ( -0.03) | 43.58% ( 0.04) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 34.03% ( -0.03) | 65.97% ( 0.04) |
| TOP Oss Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 76.18% ( -0.04) | 23.82% ( 0.04) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | ||||||||
| 42.01% ( -0.05) | 57.99% ( 0.06) |
| NAC Breda Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 77.9% ( 0) | 22.1% ( 0) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | ||||||||
| 44.54% ( 0) | 55.46% ( 0) |
| Score Analysis |
| TOP Oss | Draw | NAC Breda |
| 2-1 @ 8.18% ( -0) 1-0 @ 7.55% ( 0)2-0 @ 5.42% ( -0)3-1 @ 3.91% ( -0.01)3-2 @ 2.95% ( -0)3-0 @ 2.59% ( -0)4-1 @ 1.4% ( -0)4-2 @ 1.06% ( -0)4-0 @ 0.93% ( -0)Other @ 2.08% Total : 36.07% | 1-1 @ 11.4% ( 0.01) 2-2 @ 6.17% ( -0)0-0 @ 5.26% ( 0.01)3-3 @ 1.49% ( -0)Other @ 0.22% Total : 24.54% | 1-2 @ 8.61% ( 0) 0-1 @ 7.95% ( 0.01)0-2 @ 6% ( 0.01)1-3 @ 4.33% ( 0)2-3 @ 3.11% ( -0)0-3 @ 3.02% ( 0)1-4 @ 1.63% ( 0)2-4 @ 1.17% ( -0)0-4 @ 1.14% ( 0)Other @ 2.44% Total : 39.39% |
| Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
| 1 | PEC Zwolle | 27 | 19 | 3 | 5 | 75 | 30 | 45 | 60 |
| 2 | Heracles | 27 | 18 | 3 | 6 | 76 | 32 | 44 | 57 |
| 3 | Almere CityAlmere City | 27 | 15 | 4 | 8 | 39 | 29 | 10 | 49 |
| 4 | VVV-VenloVVV-Venlo | 27 | 13 | 6 | 8 | 40 | 37 | 3 | 45 |
| 5 | Willem II | 27 | 12 | 8 | 7 | 44 | 30 | 14 | 44 |
| 6 | FC EindhovenFC Eindhoven | 27 | 12 | 6 | 9 | 37 | 39 | -2 | 42 |
| 7 | MVV MaastrichtMVV | 27 | 12 | 5 | 10 | 51 | 48 | 3 | 41 |
| 8 | Jong AZJong AZ | 27 | 11 | 7 | 9 | 48 | 44 | 4 | 40 |
| 9 | NAC BredaNAC Breda | 27 | 12 | 4 | 11 | 43 | 45 | -2 | 40 |
| 10 | Roda JC | 27 | 11 | 4 | 12 | 37 | 37 | 0 | 37 |
| 11 | De GraafschapDe Graafschap | 27 | 10 | 6 | 11 | 42 | 38 | 4 | 36 |
| 12 | TelstarTelstar | 27 | 9 | 9 | 9 | 26 | 38 | -12 | 36 |
| 13 | ADO Den HaagADO Den Haag | 27 | 9 | 8 | 10 | 31 | 38 | -7 | 35 |
| 14 | Jong PSVJong PSV | 27 | 8 | 8 | 11 | 43 | 45 | -2 | 32 |
| 15 | TOP OssOss | 27 | 9 | 3 | 15 | 31 | 46 | -15 | 30 |
| 16 | Helmond SportHelmond | 27 | 8 | 5 | 14 | 23 | 43 | -20 | 29 |
| 17 | Jong AjaxJong Ajax | 27 | 6 | 10 | 11 | 44 | 49 | -5 | 28 |
| 18 | Den BoschDen Bosch | 27 | 8 | 3 | 16 | 37 | 65 | -28 | 27 |
| 19 | Dordrecht | 27 | 7 | 5 | 15 | 31 | 44 | -13 | 26 |
| 20 | Jong FC UtrechtJong Utrecht | 27 | 5 | 5 | 17 | 27 | 48 | -21 | 20 |
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