Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a VVV-Venlo win with a probability of 42.71%. A win for Jong AZ had a probability of 32.73% and a draw had a probability of 24.6%.
The most likely scoreline for a VVV-Venlo win was 1-2 with a probability of 8.98%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (8.54%) and 0-2 (6.69%). The likeliest Jong AZ win was 2-1 (7.7%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.46%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 4.9% likelihood.
