Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a FC Eindhoven win with a probability of 51.48%. A win for Jong AZ had a probability of 25.58% and a draw had a probability of 22.9%.
The most likely scoreline for a FC Eindhoven win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.66%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (8.66%) and 2-0 (7.9%). The likeliest Jong AZ win was 1-2 (6.48%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.59%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with an 8.7% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that FC Eindhoven would win this match.
