SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Roda JC win with a probability of 39.54%. A win for Jong AZ had a probability of 36.59% and a draw had a probability of 23.9%.
The most likely scoreline for a Roda JC win was 1-2 with a probability of 8.57%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (7.17%) and 0-2 (5.67%). The likeliest Jong AZ win was 2-1 (8.2%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.84%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 6.9% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Jong AZ | Draw | Roda JC |
36.59% ( -0.95) | 23.87% ( -0.01) | 39.54% ( 0.96) |
| Both teams to score 61.9% ( -0.04) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 59.72% ( -0.02) | 40.28% ( 0.03) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 37.34% ( -0.03) | 62.66% ( 0.03) |
| Jong AZ Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 77.95% ( -0.49) | 22.05% ( 0.5) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 44.62% ( -0.75) | 55.38% ( 0.76) |
| Roda JC Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 79.41% ( 0.45) | 20.59% ( -0.45) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 46.86% ( 0.7) | 53.14% ( -0.7) |
| Score Analysis |
| Jong AZ | Draw | Roda JC |
| 2-1 @ 8.2% ( -0.12) 1-0 @ 6.86% ( -0.09)2-0 @ 5.19% ( -0.15)3-1 @ 4.13% ( -0.12)3-2 @ 3.27% ( -0.05)3-0 @ 2.62% ( -0.12)4-1 @ 1.56% ( -0.07)4-2 @ 1.24% ( -0.04)4-0 @ 0.99% ( -0.06)Other @ 2.53% Total : 36.59% | 1-1 @ 10.84% 2-2 @ 6.48% ( -0.01)0-0 @ 4.54% ( 0.01)3-3 @ 1.72% ( -0.01)Other @ 0.28% Total : 23.86% | 1-2 @ 8.57% ( 0.12) 0-1 @ 7.17% ( 0.11)0-2 @ 5.67% ( 0.16)1-3 @ 4.51% ( 0.12)2-3 @ 3.41% ( 0.04)0-3 @ 2.99% ( 0.12)1-4 @ 1.78% ( 0.07)2-4 @ 1.35% ( 0.03)0-4 @ 1.18% ( 0.06)Other @ 2.9% Total : 39.54% |
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