Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Jong FC Utrecht win with a probability of 39.65%. A win for Jong AZ had a probability of 38.9% and a draw had a probability of 21.5%.
The most likely scoreline for a Jong FC Utrecht win was 1-2 with a probability of 7.79%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-3 (4.89%) and 2-3 (4.56%). The likeliest Jong AZ win was 2-1 (7.72%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (8.27%). The actual scoreline of 3-2 was predicted with a 4.5% likelihood.
