Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a MVV Maastricht win with a probability of 47.42%. A win for Jong FC Utrecht had a probability of 30.7% and a draw had a probability of 21.9%.
The most likely scoreline for a MVV Maastricht win was 2-1 with a probability of 8.94%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (5.96%) and 2-0 (5.81%). The likeliest Jong FC Utrecht win was 1-2 (7.06%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (9.17%). The actual scoreline of 0-2 was predicted with a 3.6% likelihood.
