SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Jong Ajax win with a probability of 45.13%. A win for Roda JC had a probability of 31.83% and a draw had a probability of 23%.
The most likely scoreline for a Jong Ajax win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.06%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (7.05%) and 2-0 (6.23%). The likeliest Roda JC win was 1-2 (7.45%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.25%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 7.5% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Jong Ajax | Draw | Roda JC |
45.13% ( -0.01) | 23.04% ( -0.01) | 31.83% ( 0.03) |
| Both teams to score 63.57% ( 0.07) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 62.48% ( 0.08) | 37.53% ( -0.07) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 40.25% ( 0.08) | 59.76% ( -0.08) |
| Jong Ajax Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 82.93% ( 0.03) | 17.07% ( -0.02) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | ||||||||
| 52.76% ( 0.05) | 47.25% ( -0.04) |
| Roda JC Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 76.65% ( 0.05) | 23.35% ( -0.05) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | ||||||||
| 42.68% ( 0.08) | 57.32% ( -0.07) |
| Score Analysis |
| Jong Ajax | Draw | Roda JC |
| 2-1 @ 9.06% ( -0) 1-0 @ 7.05% ( -0.02)2-0 @ 6.23% ( -0.01)3-1 @ 5.34% ( 0)3-2 @ 3.88% ( 0.01)3-0 @ 3.67% ( -0)4-1 @ 2.36% ( 0)4-2 @ 1.72% ( 0)4-0 @ 1.62% ( -0)Other @ 4.2% Total : 45.13% | 1-1 @ 10.25% ( -0.01) 2-2 @ 6.59% ( 0.01)0-0 @ 3.99% ( -0.01)3-3 @ 1.88% ( 0.01)Other @ 0.34% Total : 23.04% | 1-2 @ 7.45% ( 0) 0-1 @ 5.8% ( -0.01)0-2 @ 4.22% ( -0)1-3 @ 3.61% ( 0.01)2-3 @ 3.2% ( 0.01)0-3 @ 2.04% ( 0)1-4 @ 1.31% ( 0)2-4 @ 1.16% ( 0)Other @ 3.03% Total : 31.83% |
| Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
| 1 | PEC Zwolle | 27 | 19 | 3 | 5 | 75 | 30 | 45 | 60 |
| 2 | Heracles | 27 | 18 | 3 | 6 | 76 | 32 | 44 | 57 |
| 3 | Almere CityAlmere City | 27 | 15 | 4 | 8 | 39 | 29 | 10 | 49 |
| 4 | VVV-VenloVVV-Venlo | 27 | 13 | 6 | 8 | 40 | 37 | 3 | 45 |
| 5 | Willem II | 27 | 12 | 8 | 7 | 44 | 30 | 14 | 44 |
| 6 | FC EindhovenFC Eindhoven | 27 | 12 | 6 | 9 | 37 | 39 | -2 | 42 |
| 7 | MVV MaastrichtMVV | 27 | 12 | 5 | 10 | 51 | 48 | 3 | 41 |
| 8 | Jong AZJong AZ | 27 | 11 | 7 | 9 | 48 | 44 | 4 | 40 |
| 9 | NAC BredaNAC Breda | 27 | 12 | 4 | 11 | 43 | 45 | -2 | 40 |
| 10 | Roda JC | 27 | 11 | 4 | 12 | 37 | 37 | 0 | 37 |
| 11 | De GraafschapDe Graafschap | 27 | 10 | 6 | 11 | 42 | 38 | 4 | 36 |
| 12 | TelstarTelstar | 27 | 9 | 9 | 9 | 26 | 38 | -12 | 36 |
| 13 | ADO Den HaagADO Den Haag | 27 | 9 | 8 | 10 | 31 | 38 | -7 | 35 |
| 14 | Jong PSVJong PSV | 27 | 8 | 8 | 11 | 43 | 45 | -2 | 32 |
| 15 | TOP OssOss | 27 | 9 | 3 | 15 | 31 | 46 | -15 | 30 |
| 16 | Helmond SportHelmond | 27 | 8 | 5 | 14 | 23 | 43 | -20 | 29 |
| 17 | Jong AjaxJong Ajax | 27 | 6 | 10 | 11 | 44 | 49 | -5 | 28 |
| 18 | Den BoschDen Bosch | 27 | 8 | 3 | 16 | 37 | 65 | -28 | 27 |
| 19 | Dordrecht | 27 | 7 | 5 | 15 | 31 | 44 | -13 | 26 |
| 20 | Jong FC UtrechtJong Utrecht | 27 | 5 | 5 | 17 | 27 | 48 | -21 | 20 |
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