SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a De Graafschap win with a probability of 61.48%. A draw had a probability of 20.5% and a win for Dordrecht had a probability of 17.99%.
The most likely scoreline for a De Graafschap win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.94%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (9.63%) and 0-1 (9.26%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.55%), while for a Dordrecht win it was 2-1 (4.93%). The actual scoreline of 0-4 was predicted with a 3.5% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that De Graafschap would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Dordrecht | Draw | De Graafschap |
17.99% ( 0.1) | 20.54% ( 0.11) | 61.48% ( -0.21) |
| Both teams to score 56.34% ( -0.18) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 60.15% ( -0.34) | 39.85% ( 0.34) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 37.79% ( -0.35) | 62.21% ( 0.36) |
| Dordrecht Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 64.38% ( -0.09) | 35.62% ( 0.09) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | ||||||||
| 27.61% ( -0.09) | 72.39% ( 0.1) |
| De Graafschap Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 87.51% ( -0.16) | 12.49% ( 0.17) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | ||||||||
| 61.52% ( -0.34) | 38.47% ( 0.34) |
| Score Analysis |
| Dordrecht | Draw | De Graafschap |
| 2-1 @ 4.93% ( 0.02) 1-0 @ 4.59% ( 0.06)2-0 @ 2.37% ( 0.03)3-2 @ 1.77% ( -0.01)3-1 @ 1.7% ( 0)Other @ 2.63% Total : 17.99% | 1-1 @ 9.55% ( 0.07) 2-2 @ 5.13% ( -0.01)0-0 @ 4.45% ( 0.07)3-3 @ 1.22% ( -0.01)Other @ 0.18% Total : 20.54% | 1-2 @ 9.94% ( 0.01) 0-2 @ 9.63% ( 0.03)0-1 @ 9.26% ( 0.09)1-3 @ 6.89% ( -0.04)0-3 @ 6.67% ( -0.02)1-4 @ 3.58% ( -0.04)2-3 @ 3.56% ( -0.03)0-4 @ 3.47% ( -0.03)2-4 @ 1.85% ( -0.03)1-5 @ 1.49% ( -0.03)0-5 @ 1.44% ( -0.02)Other @ 3.7% Total : 61.48% |
| Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
| 1 | PEC Zwolle | 34 | 24 | 4 | 6 | 88 | 37 | 51 | 76 |
| 2 | Heracles | 34 | 23 | 4 | 7 | 92 | 41 | 51 | 73 |
| 3 | Almere CityAlmere City | 34 | 19 | 6 | 9 | 50 | 37 | 13 | 63 |
| 4 | Willem II | 33 | 17 | 8 | 8 | 59 | 35 | 24 | 59 |
| 5 | VVV-VenloVVV-Venlo | 34 | 15 | 8 | 11 | 52 | 47 | 5 | 53 |
| 6 | MVV MaastrichtMVV | 33 | 16 | 5 | 12 | 60 | 58 | 2 | 53 |
| 7 | NAC BredaNAC Breda | 33 | 16 | 4 | 13 | 56 | 56 | 0 | 52 |
| 8 | FC EindhovenFC Eindhoven | 34 | 14 | 9 | 11 | 53 | 51 | 2 | 51 |
| 9 | De GraafschapDe Graafschap | 34 | 13 | 7 | 14 | 56 | 48 | 8 | 46 |
| 10 | ADO Den HaagADO Den Haag | 34 | 12 | 10 | 12 | 43 | 49 | -6 | 46 |
| 11 | TelstarTelstar | 34 | 12 | 10 | 12 | 35 | 49 | -14 | 46 |
| 12 | Jong AZJong AZ | 34 | 12 | 8 | 14 | 54 | 53 | 1 | 44 |
| 13 | Roda JC | 34 | 12 | 6 | 16 | 43 | 48 | -5 | 42 |
| 14 | Jong PSVJong PSV | 33 | 11 | 8 | 14 | 55 | 56 | -1 | 41 |
| 15 | Jong AjaxJong Ajax | 33 | 10 | 10 | 13 | 63 | 65 | -2 | 40 |
| 16 | Helmond SportHelmond | 34 | 10 | 8 | 16 | 33 | 51 | -18 | 38 |
| 17 | Dordrecht | 34 | 9 | 6 | 19 | 36 | 57 | -21 | 33 |
| 18 | Den BoschDen Bosch | 34 | 10 | 3 | 21 | 44 | 79 | -35 | 33 |
| 19 | TOP OssOss | 34 | 9 | 5 | 20 | 41 | 68 | -27 | 32 |
| 20 | Jong FC UtrechtJong Utrecht | 33 | 6 | 5 | 22 | 31 | 59 | -28 | 23 |
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