SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a De Graafschap win with a probability of 62.88%. A draw had a probability of 20.8% and a win for Helmond Sport had a probability of 16.32%.
The most likely scoreline for a De Graafschap win was 2-0 with a probability of 10.85%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (10.78%) and 2-1 (9.92%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.86%), while for a Helmond Sport win it was 0-1 (4.9%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 10.9% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 2-0 win for De Graafschap in this match.
| Result | ||
| De Graafschap | Draw | Helmond Sport |
62.88% ( 0.16) | 20.8% ( 0) | 16.32% ( -0.16) |
| Both teams to score 51.9% ( -0.37) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 56% ( -0.31) | 44% ( 0.31) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 33.61% ( -0.3) | 66.39% ( 0.3) |
| De Graafschap Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 86.62% ( -0.05) | 13.38% ( 0.05) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | ||||||||
| 59.71% ( -0.1) | 40.29% ( 0.1) |
| Helmond Sport Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 59.91% ( -0.39) | 40.09% ( 0.39) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | ||||||||
| 23.27% ( -0.36) | 76.73% ( 0.36) |
| Score Analysis |
| De Graafschap | Draw | Helmond Sport |
| 2-0 @ 10.85% ( 0.11) 1-0 @ 10.78% ( 0.12)2-1 @ 9.92% ( -0.01)3-0 @ 7.28% ( 0.06)3-1 @ 6.65% ( -0.02)4-0 @ 3.66% ( 0.02)4-1 @ 3.35% ( -0.01)3-2 @ 3.04% ( -0.04)4-2 @ 1.53% ( -0.02)5-0 @ 1.47% ( 0.01)5-1 @ 1.35% ( -0.01)Other @ 3.01% Total : 62.87% | 1-1 @ 9.86% ( 0.01) 0-0 @ 5.36% ( 0.07)2-2 @ 4.53% ( -0.05)3-3 @ 0.93% ( -0.02)Other @ 0.11% Total : 20.8% | 0-1 @ 4.9% ( 0.01) 1-2 @ 4.51% ( -0.04)0-2 @ 2.24% ( -0.02)2-3 @ 1.38% ( -0.03)1-3 @ 1.37% ( -0.03)Other @ 1.92% Total : 16.32% |
| Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
| 1 | PEC Zwolle | 33 | 24 | 3 | 6 | 87 | 36 | 51 | 75 |
| 2 | Heracles | 33 | 22 | 4 | 7 | 91 | 41 | 50 | 70 |
| 3 | Almere CityAlmere City | 32 | 18 | 5 | 9 | 46 | 34 | 12 | 59 |
| 4 | Willem II | 32 | 16 | 8 | 8 | 56 | 35 | 21 | 56 |
| 5 | VVV-VenloVVV-Venlo | 33 | 15 | 8 | 10 | 52 | 46 | 6 | 53 |
| 6 | MVV MaastrichtMVV | 33 | 16 | 5 | 12 | 60 | 58 | 2 | 53 |
| 7 | FC EindhovenFC Eindhoven | 33 | 14 | 9 | 10 | 52 | 49 | 3 | 51 |
| 8 | NAC BredaNAC Breda | 32 | 15 | 4 | 13 | 54 | 56 | -2 | 49 |
| 9 | De GraafschapDe Graafschap | 33 | 13 | 7 | 13 | 56 | 47 | 9 | 46 |
| 10 | ADO Den HaagADO Den Haag | 32 | 11 | 10 | 11 | 40 | 46 | -6 | 43 |
| 11 | TelstarTelstar | 33 | 11 | 10 | 12 | 34 | 49 | -15 | 43 |
| 12 | Roda JC | 33 | 12 | 6 | 15 | 43 | 47 | -4 | 42 |
| 13 | Jong PSVJong PSV | 32 | 11 | 8 | 13 | 51 | 51 | 0 | 41 |
| 14 | Jong AZJong AZ | 32 | 11 | 8 | 13 | 50 | 52 | -2 | 41 |
| 15 | Helmond SportHelmond | 33 | 10 | 8 | 15 | 33 | 50 | -17 | 38 |
| 16 | Jong AjaxJong Ajax | 32 | 9 | 10 | 13 | 58 | 61 | -3 | 37 |
| 17 | TOP OssOss | 33 | 9 | 5 | 19 | 41 | 64 | -23 | 32 |
| 18 | Dordrecht | 33 | 8 | 6 | 19 | 35 | 57 | -22 | 30 |
| 19 | Den BoschDen Bosch | 33 | 9 | 3 | 21 | 43 | 79 | -36 | 30 |
| 20 | Jong FC UtrechtJong Utrecht | 32 | 6 | 5 | 21 | 31 | 55 | -24 | 23 |
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