SM
| Current League Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
| 9 | Almere City | 2 | 0 | 3 |
| 10 | Den Bosch | 2 | 0 | 3 |
| 11 | TOP Oss | 2 | 0 | 3 |
| Current League Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
| 5 | FC Eindhoven | 2 | 3 | 6 |
| 6 | Roda JC | 2 | 3 | 6 |
| 7 | Jong PSV | 2 | 1 | 4 |
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Roda JC win with a probability of 43.72%. A win for Den Bosch had a probability of 32.22% and a draw had a probability of 24.1%.
The most likely scoreline for a Roda JC win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.07%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (8.1%) and 0-2 (6.61%). The likeliest Den Bosch win was 2-1 (7.61%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.1%). The actual scoreline of 0-3 was predicted with a 3.6% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Roda JC would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Den Bosch | Draw | Roda JC |
32.22% ( 0.15) | 24.06% ( 0.03) | 43.72% ( -0.17) |
| Both teams to score 60.04% ( -0.03) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 57.77% ( -0.06) | 42.23% ( 0.06) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 35.36% ( -0.06) | 64.63% ( 0.06) |
| Den Bosch Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 74.61% ( 0.06) | 25.39% ( -0.06) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | ||||||||
| 39.8% ( 0.08) | 60.2% ( -0.08) |
| Roda JC Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 80.47% ( -0.1) | 19.53% ( 0.1) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | ||||||||
| 48.57% ( -0.16) | 51.43% ( 0.16) |
| Score Analysis |
| Den Bosch | Draw | Roda JC |
| 2-1 @ 7.61% ( 0.02) 1-0 @ 6.8% ( 0.03)2-0 @ 4.66% ( 0.03)3-1 @ 3.48% ( 0.02)3-2 @ 2.84% ( 0)3-0 @ 2.13% ( 0.02)4-1 @ 1.19% ( 0.01)4-2 @ 0.97% ( 0)Other @ 2.55% Total : 32.22% | 1-1 @ 11.1% ( 0.02) 2-2 @ 6.21% 0-0 @ 4.96% ( 0.01)3-3 @ 1.55% ( -0)Other @ 0.24% Total : 24.06% | 1-2 @ 9.07% ( -0.02) 0-1 @ 8.1% ( -0)0-2 @ 6.61% ( -0.02)1-3 @ 4.94% ( -0.02)0-3 @ 3.6% ( -0.02)2-3 @ 3.38% ( -0.01)1-4 @ 2.02% ( -0.02)0-4 @ 1.47% ( -0.01)2-4 @ 1.38% ( -0.01)Other @ 3.16% Total : 43.72% |
| Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
| 1 | PEC Zwolle | 33 | 24 | 3 | 6 | 87 | 36 | 51 | 75 |
| 2 | Heracles | 33 | 22 | 4 | 7 | 91 | 41 | 50 | 70 |
| 3 | Almere CityAlmere City | 33 | 19 | 5 | 9 | 49 | 36 | 13 | 62 |
| 4 | Willem II | 32 | 16 | 8 | 8 | 55 | 35 | 20 | 56 |
| 5 | VVV-VenloVVV-Venlo | 33 | 15 | 8 | 10 | 52 | 46 | 6 | 53 |
| 6 | MVV MaastrichtMVV | 33 | 16 | 5 | 12 | 60 | 58 | 2 | 53 |
| 7 | FC EindhovenFC Eindhoven | 33 | 14 | 9 | 10 | 52 | 49 | 3 | 51 |
| 8 | NAC BredaNAC Breda | 32 | 15 | 4 | 13 | 54 | 55 | -1 | 49 |
| 9 | De GraafschapDe Graafschap | 33 | 13 | 7 | 13 | 56 | 47 | 9 | 46 |
| 10 | Jong AZJong AZ | 33 | 12 | 8 | 13 | 54 | 52 | 2 | 44 |
| 11 | ADO Den HaagADO Den Haag | 33 | 11 | 10 | 12 | 42 | 49 | -7 | 43 |
| 12 | TelstarTelstar | 33 | 11 | 10 | 12 | 34 | 49 | -15 | 43 |
| 13 | Roda JC | 33 | 12 | 6 | 15 | 43 | 47 | -4 | 42 |
| 14 | Jong PSVJong PSV | 33 | 11 | 8 | 14 | 55 | 56 | -1 | 41 |
| 15 | Jong AjaxJong Ajax | 33 | 10 | 10 | 13 | 63 | 65 | -2 | 40 |
| 16 | Helmond SportHelmond | 33 | 10 | 8 | 15 | 33 | 50 | -17 | 38 |
| 17 | TOP OssOss | 33 | 9 | 5 | 19 | 41 | 64 | -23 | 32 |
| 18 | Dordrecht | 33 | 8 | 6 | 19 | 35 | 57 | -22 | 30 |
| 19 | Den BoschDen Bosch | 33 | 9 | 3 | 21 | 43 | 79 | -36 | 30 |
| 20 | Jong FC UtrechtJong Utrecht | 33 | 6 | 5 | 22 | 31 | 59 | -28 | 23 |
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