SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Cambuur win with a probability of 66.55%. A draw had a probability of 19.1% and a win for Den Bosch had a probability of 14.33%.
The most likely scoreline for a Cambuur win was 2-0 with a probability of 10.87%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (9.96%) and 2-1 (9.83%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.01%), while for a Den Bosch win it was 0-1 (4.12%). The actual scoreline of 3-1 was predicted with a 7.2% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Cambuur would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Cambuur | Draw | Den Bosch |
66.55% ( -0.41) | 19.12% ( 0.14) | 14.33% ( 0.27) |
| Both teams to score 52.79% ( 0.26) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 59.6% ( -0.02) | 40.4% ( 0.02) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 37.22% ( -0.02) | 62.77% ( 0.02) |
| Cambuur Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 88.73% ( -0.11) | 11.27% ( 0.11) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 64.13% ( -0.25) | 35.87% ( 0.25) |
| Den Bosch Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 59.49% ( 0.37) | 40.51% ( -0.37) |
