SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a ADO Den Haag win with a probability of 58.56%. A win for Jong PSV had a probability of 22.46% and a draw had a probability of 19%.
The most likely scoreline for an ADO Den Haag win was 2-1 with a probability of 8.79%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 3-1 (7.1%) and 2-0 (5.97%). The likeliest Jong PSV win was 1-2 (5.34%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (7.25%). The actual scoreline of 2-3 was predicted with a 3.2% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| ADO Den Haag | Draw | Jong PSV |
58.56% ( -0.17) | 18.98% ( 0.09) | 22.46% ( 0.08) |
| Both teams to score 70.24% ( -0.24) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 74.64% ( -0.34) | 25.35% ( 0.35) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 54.62% ( -0.45) | 45.38% ( 0.45) |
| ADO Den Haag Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 91.15% ( -0.14) | 8.85% ( 0.14) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 69.69% ( -0.34) | 30.31% ( 0.35) |
| Jong PSV Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 77.06% ( -0.14) | 22.94% ( 0.15) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 43.29% ( -0.21) | 56.71% ( 0.22) |
| Score Analysis |
| ADO Den Haag | Draw | Jong PSV |
| 2-1 @ 8.79% ( 0.04) 3-1 @ 7.1% ( -0.01)2-0 @ 5.97% ( 0.05)3-2 @ 5.23% ( -0.03)1-0 @ 4.92% ( 0.08)3-0 @ 4.82% ( 0.01)4-1 @ 4.31% ( -0.04)4-2 @ 3.17% ( -0.04)4-0 @ 2.92% ( -0.01)5-1 @ 2.09% ( -0.03)4-3 @ 1.56% ( -0.03)5-2 @ 1.54% ( -0.03)5-0 @ 1.42% ( -0.02)Other @ 4.74% Total : 58.56% | 1-1 @ 7.25% ( 0.08) 2-2 @ 6.47% ( 0)3-3 @ 2.57% ( -0.03)0-0 @ 2.03% ( 0.05)Other @ 0.66% Total : 18.98% | 1-2 @ 5.34% ( 0.04) 2-3 @ 3.18% ( -0.01)0-1 @ 2.99% ( 0.05)1-3 @ 2.62% ( 0.01)0-2 @ 2.2% ( 0.03)2-4 @ 1.17% ( -0.01)0-3 @ 1.08% ( 0.01)1-4 @ 0.96% ( -0)3-4 @ 0.95% ( -0.01)Other @ 1.98% Total : 22.46% |
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