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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a ADO Den Haag win with a probability of 53%. A win for Helmond Sport had a probability of 23.86% and a draw had a probability of 23.1%.
The most likely scoreline for an ADO Den Haag win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.77%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (9.58%) and 2-0 (8.63%). The likeliest Helmond Sport win was 1-2 (6.15%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.85%). The actual scoreline of 2-2 was predicted with a 5.5% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| ADO Den Haag | Draw | Helmond Sport |
53% ( -0.22) | 23.14% ( 0.09) | 23.86% ( 0.13) |
| Both teams to score 56.59% ( -0.16) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 56.18% ( -0.28) | 43.82% ( 0.27) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 33.79% ( -0.27) | 66.21% ( 0.27) |
| ADO Den Haag Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 83.48% ( -0.18) | 16.52% ( 0.18) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | ||||||||
| 53.74% ( -0.32) | 46.26% ( 0.32) |
| Helmond Sport Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 67.79% ( -0.04) | 32.21% ( 0.04) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | ||||||||
| 31.3% ( -0.05) | 68.7% ( 0.05) |
| Score Analysis |
| ADO Den Haag | Draw | Helmond Sport |
| 2-1 @ 9.77% ( -0.01) 1-0 @ 9.58% ( 0.06)2-0 @ 8.63% ( 0)3-1 @ 5.87% ( -0.04)3-0 @ 5.18% ( -0.03)3-2 @ 3.32% ( -0.03)4-1 @ 2.64% ( -0.03)4-0 @ 2.33% ( -0.03)4-2 @ 1.5% ( -0.02)5-1 @ 0.95% ( -0.02)Other @ 3.24% Total : 53% | 1-1 @ 10.85% ( 0.05) 2-2 @ 5.54% ( -0.01)0-0 @ 5.32% ( 0.06)3-3 @ 1.26% ( -0.01)Other @ 0.17% Total : 23.14% | 1-2 @ 6.15% ( 0.02) 0-1 @ 6.03% ( 0.07)0-2 @ 3.42% ( 0.03)1-3 @ 2.32% ( 0.01)2-3 @ 2.09% ( -0.01)0-3 @ 1.29% ( 0.01)Other @ 2.56% Total : 23.86% |
| Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
| P | Heracles | 37 | 26 | 4 | 7 | 103 | 42 | 61 | 82 |
| P | PEC Zwolle | 37 | 26 | 4 | 7 | 98 | 43 | 55 | 82 |
| 3 | Almere CityAlmere City | 38 | 21 | 7 | 10 | 58 | 41 | 17 | 70 |
| 4 | Willem II | 37 | 19 | 10 | 8 | 68 | 40 | 28 | 67 |
| 5 | NAC BredaNAC Breda | 37 | 18 | 5 | 14 | 64 | 63 | 1 | 59 |
| 6 | MVV MaastrichtMVV | 38 | 18 | 5 | 15 | 65 | 65 | 0 | 59 |
| 7 | VVV-VenloVVV-Venlo | 38 | 16 | 10 | 12 | 56 | 51 | 5 | 58 |
| 8 | FC EindhovenFC Eindhoven | 38 | 16 | 10 | 12 | 58 | 54 | 4 | 58 |
| 9 | Jong AZJong AZ | 38 | 14 | 9 | 15 | 60 | 58 | 2 | 51 |
| 10 | ADO Den HaagADO Den Haag | 38 | 13 | 12 | 13 | 51 | 57 | -6 | 51 |
| 11 | TelstarTelstar | 37 | 13 | 11 | 13 | 38 | 52 | -14 | 50 |
| 12 | De GraafschapDe Graafschap | 37 | 14 | 7 | 16 | 63 | 54 | 9 | 49 |
| 13 | Jong AjaxJong Ajax | 37 | 12 | 10 | 15 | 69 | 72 | -3 | 46 |
| 14 | Jong PSVJong PSV | 38 | 12 | 9 | 17 | 59 | 63 | -4 | 45 |
| 15 | Helmond SportHelmond | 37 | 11 | 10 | 16 | 39 | 56 | -17 | 43 |
| 16 | Roda JC | 37 | 12 | 6 | 19 | 49 | 59 | -10 | 42 |
| 17 | TOP OssOss | 37 | 10 | 6 | 21 | 45 | 76 | -31 | 36 |
| 18 | Den BoschDen Bosch | 37 | 10 | 5 | 22 | 46 | 84 | -38 | 35 |
| 19 | Dordrecht | 37 | 9 | 7 | 21 | 41 | 68 | -27 | 34 |
| 20 | Jong FC UtrechtJong Utrecht | 38 | 7 | 7 | 24 | 33 | 65 | -32 | 28 |
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