SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Nordsjaelland win with a probability of 51.79%. A draw had a probability of 25.7% and a win for Aarhus had a probability of 22.47%.
The most likely scoreline for a Nordsjaelland win was 1-0 with a probability of 13.26%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.17%) and 2-1 (9.3%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.12%), while for an Aarhus win it was 0-1 (7.91%). The actual scoreline of 0-0 was predicted with an 8.7% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Nordsjaelland | Draw | Aarhus |
51.79% ( 0.32) | 25.75% ( -0.01) | 22.47% ( -0.31) |
| Both teams to score 46.98% ( -0.32) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 44.27% ( -0.24) | 55.73% ( 0.24) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 23.13% ( -0.2) | 76.87% ( 0.2) |
| Nordsjaelland Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 78.43% ( 0.03) | 21.57% ( -0.04) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | ||||||||
| 45.34% ( 0.05) | 54.66% ( -0.05) |
| Aarhus Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 59.9% ( -0.44) | 40.1% ( 0.44) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | ||||||||
| 23.26% ( -0.4) | 76.74% ( 0.4) |
| Score Analysis |
| Nordsjaelland | Draw | Aarhus |
| 1-0 @ 13.26% ( 0.13) 2-0 @ 10.17% ( 0.12)2-1 @ 9.3% ( -0)3-0 @ 5.2% ( 0.07)3-1 @ 4.75% ( 0)3-2 @ 2.17% ( -0.02)4-0 @ 2% ( 0.03)4-1 @ 1.82% ( 0)Other @ 3.1% Total : 51.78% | 1-1 @ 12.12% ( -0.02) 0-0 @ 8.65% ( 0.08)2-2 @ 4.25% ( -0.05)Other @ 0.72% Total : 25.74% | 0-1 @ 7.91% ( -0.02) 1-2 @ 5.54% ( -0.08)0-2 @ 3.61% ( -0.05)1-3 @ 1.69% ( -0.04)2-3 @ 1.29% ( -0.03)0-3 @ 1.1% ( -0.03)Other @ 1.33% Total : 22.47% |
| Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
| 1 | Copenhagen | 16 | 10 | 3 | 3 | 33 | 19 | 14 | 33 |
| 2 | FC MidtjyllandMidtjylland | 16 | 10 | 3 | 3 | 29 | 19 | 10 | 33 |
| 3 | Brondby | 16 | 9 | 4 | 3 | 29 | 17 | 12 | 31 |
| 4 | SilkeborgSilkeborg | 16 | 8 | 3 | 5 | 26 | 17 | 9 | 27 |
| 5 | Nordsjaelland | 16 | 7 | 5 | 4 | 25 | 13 | 12 | 26 |
| 6 | AarhusAarhus | 16 | 6 | 7 | 3 | 19 | 16 | 3 | 25 |
| 7 | Viborg FFViborg | 16 | 5 | 4 | 7 | 16 | 24 | -8 | 19 |
| 8 | Lyngby BoldklubLyngby Boldklub | 16 | 4 | 5 | 7 | 19 | 27 | -8 | 17 |
| 9 | OdenseOdense | 16 | 4 | 4 | 8 | 20 | 24 | -4 | 16 |
| 10 | RandersRanders | 17 | 3 | 7 | 7 | 18 | 31 | -13 | 16 |
| 11 | Vejle | 17 | 3 | 5 | 9 | 16 | 21 | -5 | 14 |
| 12 | Hvidovre | 16 | 1 | 4 | 11 | 9 | 31 | -22 | 7 |
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