Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Aarhus win with a probability of 37.67%. A win for Randers had a probability of 35.04% and a draw had a probability of 27.3%.
The most likely scoreline for an Aarhus win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.78%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.11%) and 2-0 (6.76%). The likeliest Randers win was 0-1 (10.3%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.93%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 6.8% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Aarhus would win this match.
