Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a FC Midtjylland win with a probability of 43.18%. A win for Aarhus had a probability of 30.38% and a draw had a probability of 26.4%.
The most likely scoreline for a FC Midtjylland win was 0-1 with a probability of 11.06%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.84%) and 0-2 (7.79%). The likeliest Aarhus win was 1-0 (8.93%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.56%). The actual scoreline of 1-4 was predicted with a 1.5% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that FC Midtjylland would win this match.
