Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Copenhagen win with a probability of 44.36%. A win for Aarhus had a probability of 31.23% and a draw had a probability of 24.4%.
The most likely scoreline for a Copenhagen win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.15%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (8.71%) and 2-0 (6.99%). The likeliest Aarhus win was 1-2 (7.46%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.4%). The actual scoreline of 3-3 was predicted with a 1.4% likelihood.
