SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Sparta Prague win with a probability of 53.35%. A draw had a probability of 23.9% and a win for Pardubice had a probability of 22.74%.
The most likely scoreline for a Sparta Prague win was 0-1 with a probability of 11%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.73%) and 0-2 (9.43%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.35%), while for a Pardubice win it was 1-0 (6.63%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 9.7% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Sparta Prague would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Pardubice | Draw | Sparta Prague |
22.74% ( 0.61) | 23.9% ( 0.27) | 53.35% ( -0.88) |
| Both teams to score 52.76% ( -0.07) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 51.74% ( -0.47) | 48.25% ( 0.47) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 29.59% ( -0.44) | 70.4% ( 0.43) |
| Pardubice Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 64.36% ( 0.31) | 35.64% ( -0.31) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 27.59% ( 0.32) | 72.4% ( -0.32) |
| Sparta Prague Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 81.97% ( -0.5) | 18.02% ( 0.5) |
