SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Sparta Prague win with a probability of 47.43%. A win for Mlada Boleslav had a probability of 28.05% and a draw had a probability of 24.5%.
The most likely scoreline for a Sparta Prague win was 0-1 with a probability of 9.68%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.41%) and 0-2 (7.87%). The likeliest Mlada Boleslav win was 1-0 (7.11%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.56%). The actual scoreline of 3-1 was predicted with a 2.8% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Mlada Boleslav | Draw | Sparta Prague |
28.05% ( -1.47) | 24.51% ( 0.01) | 47.43% ( 1.46) |
| Both teams to score 56.02% ( -1.03) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 53.56% ( -0.9) | 46.43% ( 0.9) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 31.28% ( -0.85) | 68.72% ( 0.85) |
| Mlada Boleslav Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 69.72% ( -1.5) | 30.28% ( 1.5) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 33.55% ( -1.84) | 66.45% ( 1.84) |
| Sparta Prague Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 80.34% ( 0.25) | 19.66% ( -0.25) |
