Rouen 1-1 Valenciennes - Coupe de France Quarter-Finals - Football

Rouen have gone toe-to-toe with two Ligue 1 sides at this tournament, holding their own on both occasions and finding a way to win. Valenciennes' form domestically and the fact they have not faced any formidable opponents at this tournament has us leaning towards the home team pulling off another upset. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats, suggests the most likely outcome of this match is a Rouen win with a probability of 39.35%. A win for Valenciennes has a probability of 33.52% and a draw has a probability of 27.1%.

The most likely scoreline for a Rouen win is 1-0 with a probability of 10.96%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome are 2-1 (8.34%) and 2-0 (7.1%). The likeliest Valenciennes win is 0-1 (9.93%), while for a drawn scoreline it is 1-1 (12.86%).

Result
Rouen	Draw	Valenciennes
39.35% ( 0.03)	27.13% ( 0.1)	33.52% ( -0.13)

Both teams to score 50.19% (

-0.34)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

44.85% (

-0.41)

55.15% (

0.41)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

23.6% (

-0.34)

76.39% (

0.34)

Rouen Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

72.63% (

-0.18)

27.36% (

0.18)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

37.17% (

-0.23)

62.83% (

0.23)

Valenciennes Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

69.09% (

-0.29)

30.91% (

0.29)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

32.8% (

-0.34)

67.2% (

0.34)

Score Analysis

Rouen 39.35%

Valenciennes 33.52%

Draw 27.13%

Rouen	Draw	Valenciennes
1-0 @ 10.96% ( 0.12) 2-1 @ 8.34% ( -0.02) 2-0 @ 7.1% ( 0.04) 3-1 @ 3.6% ( -0.03) 3-0 @ 3.07% ( 0) 3-2 @ 2.12% ( -0.03) 4-1 @ 1.17% ( -0.01) 4-0 @ 0.99% ( -0) Other @ 2% Total : 39.35%	1-1 @ 12.86% ( 0.03) 0-0 @ 8.46% ( 0.13) 2-2 @ 4.9% ( -0.05) Other @ 0.91% Total : 27.13%	0-1 @ 9.93% ( 0.08) 1-2 @ 7.56% ( -0.04) 0-2 @ 5.83% 1-3 @ 2.96% ( -0.04) 0-3 @ 2.28% ( -0.02) 2-3 @ 1.92% ( -0.04) Other @ 3.05% Total : 33.52%