Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Udinese win with a probability of 48.11%. A win for Catanzaro had a probability of 28.4% and a draw had a probability of 23.5%.
The most likely scoreline for a Udinese win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.44%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (8.39%) and 2-0 (7.32%). The likeliest Catanzaro win was 1-2 (6.98%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.82%). The actual scoreline of 4-1 was predicted with a 2.4% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Udinese would win this match.
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