SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Fiorentina win with a probability of 52.29%. A win for Torino had a probability of 24.04% and a draw had a probability of 23.7%.
The most likely scoreline for a Fiorentina win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.15%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.73%) and 2-0 (8.83%). The likeliest Torino win was 0-1 (6.43%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.18%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 9.7% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Fiorentina would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Fiorentina | Draw | Torino |
52.29% ( -0.36) | 23.67% ( 0.06) | 24.04% ( 0.3) |
| Both teams to score 55.03% ( 0.16) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 54.01% ( 0.04) | 45.98% ( -0.04) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 31.71% ( 0.04) | 68.29% ( -0.04) |
| Fiorentina Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 82.43% ( -0.12) | 17.57% ( 0.12) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 51.87% ( -0.21) | 48.12% ( 0.21) |
| Torino Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 66.77% ( 0.29) | 33.23% ( -0.29) |
