Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Cittadella win with a probability of 42.24%. A win for Empoli had a probability of 32.29% and a draw had a probability of 25.5%.
The most likely scoreline for a Cittadella win was 0-1 with a probability of 9.6%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.9%) and 0-2 (7.08%). The likeliest Empoli win was 1-0 (8.19%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.07%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with an 8.9% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Cittadella would win this match.
-0.29) 
0.16) 
